Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v St. Louis Cardinals

Início: 2026-05-22 22:41 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 52.51%1.90odd justa
EV -1.80%
Vantagem -0.962%
Kelly -2.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.05%52.49%52.56%53.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.821.831.8756.18%54.80%54.64%53.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 47.49%2.11odd justa
EV -0.279%
Vantagem -0.133%
Kelly -0.254%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.56%47.51%47.44%48.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.002.002.1051.28%49.88%50.00%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 52.51%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 47.49%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.11. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.10, com valor esperado de -0.279%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.80%E -0.962%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.18%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-22 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.80%E -0.962%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 15:49
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.32%E -1.25%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -1.70%E -0.823%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-22 13:20
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.23%E -0.591%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-22 17:50
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.70%E -0.823%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-22 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -2.18%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-22 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -2.18%E -1.06%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-22 14:40
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 14:10
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 14:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 17:50
Bovada🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -3.37%E -1.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -5.50%E -2.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 17:50
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.279%E -0.133%K -0.254%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-22 14:30
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.754%E -0.361%K -0.692%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-22 17:20
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-22 18:10
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 13:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 13:10
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 17:50
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 17:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 13:10
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 14:40
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.98%E -3.02%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.45%E -3.28%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.45%E -3.28%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 17:50
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.45%E -3.28%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.45%E -3.28%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 17:50
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.45%E -3.28%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 17:50
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.45%E -3.28%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 17:50
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.45%E -3.28%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 17:50
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.45%E -3.28%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 17:50
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.45%E -3.28%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.45%E -3.28%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 17:50
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.93%E -3.53%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 17:50
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 13:20
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-22 14:20
DraftKings🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 17:50
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:07
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.42%E -2.43%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.50%E -2.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 14:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.95%E -2.73%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.13%E -1.53%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 18:00
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 14:09
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 14:10
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 18:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 18:09
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.08%E -2.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -4.55%E -2.27%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 13:09
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 17:50
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 14:10
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 13:20
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.47%E -3.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.40%E -3.80%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.53%E -3.67%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.53%E -3.67%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.03%E -2.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 18:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-22 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-22 18:10
BetOpenly1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-05-22 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-05-22 18:00
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-22 17:30
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.36%1.0%2026-05-22 18:10
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-05-22 18:07
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-05-22 18:15
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-05-22 15:20
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-05-22 18:10