Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v St. Louis Cardinals

Início: 2026-08-18 22:41 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 0–3 St. Louis Cardinals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 47.95%2.09odd justa
EV -0.742%
Vantagem -0.358%
Kelly -0.693%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.34%48.07%47.96%49.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.902.002.002.0752.63%49.94%50.00%48.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 52.05%1.92odd justa
EV -0.066%
Vantagem -0.034%
Kelly -0.071%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.53%51.93%52.04%53.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.721.831.831.9258.14%54.69%54.64%52.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 47.95%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 52.05%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.921. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.920, com valor esperado de -0.066%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.46%EV -0.742%E -0.358%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.54%EV -2.67%E -1.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-18 22:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.22%E -0.593%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 21:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.22%E -0.593%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 21:44
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.22%E -0.593%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 21:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -1.22%E -0.593%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 21:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.70%E -0.830%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.67%E -1.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 14:05
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.70%E -0.830%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.67%E -1.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 11:20
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.70%E -0.830%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.67%E -1.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 19:20
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.70%E -0.830%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.67%E -1.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 22:20
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.70%E -0.830%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.83%E -3.82%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 21:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.70%E -0.830%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.83%E -3.82%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 21:45
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.70%E -0.830%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.83%E -3.82%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 21:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.70%E -0.830%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.83%E -3.82%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 21:44
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.70%E -0.830%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.83%E -3.82%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 21:44
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -1.70%E -0.830%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.83%E -3.82%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 21:45
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.70%E -0.830%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.87%E -4.45%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 22:20
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.18%E -1.07%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.63%E -0.861%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-18 19:45
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.18%E -1.07%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.15%E -1.14%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-18 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.18%E -1.07%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.67%E -1.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-18 19:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.18%E -1.07%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.67%E -1.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-18 19:20
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.18%E -1.07%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.35%E -4.13%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 21:44
Everygame🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.66%E -1.31%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.63%E -0.861%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-18 22:35
theScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.67%E -1.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 19:24
BetAnything🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.67%E -1.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.39%E -4.77%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 21:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.39%E -4.77%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 21:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -3.62%E -1.80%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -4.23%E -2.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 22:35
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -0.066%E -0.034%K -0.071%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 19:25
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.71%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 14:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.71%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 19:50
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 12:19
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 20:40
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 19:30
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 19:29
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 19:25
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.27%E -2.90%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 20:39
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 22:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 22:50
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.58%E -2.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.23%E -2.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.58%E -2.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.27%E -2.90%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 20:39
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.06%E -2.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 19:50
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.06%E -2.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 22:40
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.06%E -2.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.06%E -2.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 19:25
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.06%E -2.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 20:40
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.06%E -2.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 20:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.06%E -2.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.27%E -2.90%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -5.54%E -2.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -2.15%E -1.14%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 22:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.54%E -2.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 22:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.54%E -2.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 15:59
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -5.54%E -2.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -10.48%E -6.09%K -14.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-18 21:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.71%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 22:39
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.98%E -3.60%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.19%E -1.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.35%E -4.13%K -9.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 22:13
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -7.93%E -4.13%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -4.23%E -2.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.41%E -4.41%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.67%E -1.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 22:40
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.41%E -4.41%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 20:14
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.71%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 22:28
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.71%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 22:28
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%0.1%2026-08-18 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Novig◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-18 19:40
ProphetX◎2.09I 47.85%NM 47.49%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%0.8%2026-08-18 22:40
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-17 23:05
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-18 21:00
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%1.7%2026-08-18 22:40
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-08-18 22:40