Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v St. Louis Cardinals

Início: 2026-05-24 18:41 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 52.94%1.89odd justa
EV -0.481%
Vantagem -0.256%
Kelly -0.546%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.59%52.91%52.95%53.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.811.811.8857.14%55.20%55.10%53.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 47.06%2.12odd justa
EV -0.694%
Vantagem -0.329%
Kelly -0.626%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.05%47.09%47.05%48.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.032.022.1151.28%49.29%49.50%47.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 52.94%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 47.06%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.89. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.88, com valor esperado de -0.481%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -0.481%E -0.256%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-24 17:39
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.11%E -1.01%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-24 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -2.07%E -1.12%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -3.99%E -1.96%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-24 16:30
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -0.694%E -0.329%K -0.626%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-24 17:50
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -0.694%E -0.329%K -0.626%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-24 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.16%E -0.555%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-24 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.16%E -0.555%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-24 17:50
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.16%E -0.555%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-24 18:20
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.64%E -0.783%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-24 17:50
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 17:39
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 17:38
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 07:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 17:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 16:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 14:40
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 04:20
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 16:30
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 16:30
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 16:30
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 16:30
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 16:29
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 16:30
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -6.34%E -3.19%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 17:39
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.19%E -2.31%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 07:39
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 17:39
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 17:39
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 18:16
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 17:40
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 17:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 18:20
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 16:30
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 17:50
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.99%E -1.96%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 18:00
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.99%E -1.96%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 17:40
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 17:49
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 22:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 17:40
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.94%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 14:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -6.34%E -3.19%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 17:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.28%E -3.70%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 17:40
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 15:20
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.25%E -2.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.05%E -1.48%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 17:40
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.25%E -2.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 17:49
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.25%E -2.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 17:47
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 17:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.77%E -3.24%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 17:40
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.36%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.52%E -1.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 52.62%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.38%0.0%2026-05-24 17:10
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-05-24 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-05-24 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-05-24 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-05-24 18:20
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-05-24 18:10
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-05-24 18:10
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%2.5%2026-05-24 16:50
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%3.2%2026-05-24 18:18
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%9.9%2026-05-24 18:11