L’École des cotes

Cincinnati Reds v San Francisco Giants

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-16 16:41 UTC

Score final : Cincinnati Reds 0–3 San Francisco Giants

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prévision 52.68%1.90cote équitable
EV -0.965%
Avantage -0.513%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.92%52.82%52.63%54.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.811.811.8857.80%55.36%55.25%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Francisco Giants (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.32%2.11cote équitable
EV +0.322%
Avantage +0.152%
Kelly +0.288%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.17%47.18%47.37%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.032.022.1251.28%49.28%49.38%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV +0.322%E +0.152%K +0.288%G +0.001%1.8%2026-04-16 06:29
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -0.151%E -0.072%K -0.136%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-16 16:30
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.624%E -0.297%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 04:25
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.87%E -5.13%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.624%E -0.297%K -0.568%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 06:25
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.55%E -1.38%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.57%E -0.755%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-16 16:29
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.04%E -0.987%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 04:44
Everygame1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.02%E -1.09%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.52%E -1.22%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 16:34
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-16 16:39
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-16 16:10
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 16:35
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 00:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 00:54
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 00:54
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 15:05
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 00:54
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 00:54
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 16:20
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.76%E -3.82%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 15:05
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 02:39
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 02:39
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 02:39
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.99%E -1.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 16:40
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.46%E -1.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -0.965%E -0.513%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.94%E -1.94%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-16 16:40
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -0.965%E -0.513%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.94%E -1.94%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-16 16:40
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -0.965%E -0.513%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.94%E -1.94%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-16 16:39
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -3.94%E -1.94%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 16:39
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -3.94%E -1.94%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 16:20
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -6.23%E -3.50%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -3.94%E -1.94%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 16:20
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.41%E -2.18%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 16:09
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.41%E -2.18%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 16:10
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.41%E -2.18%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 16:15
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.41%E -2.18%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 16:10
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.41%E -2.18%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.41%E -2.18%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 16:10
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.41%E -2.18%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 16:15
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.41%E -2.18%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 16:10
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.41%E -2.18%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 16:10
Bally Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.41%E -2.18%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 16:10
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.41%E -2.18%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 16:39
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 16:35
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 16:35
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 16:40
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 16:40
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.60%E -1.97%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 16:40
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 16:39
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.65%E -2.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 16:10
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.65%E -2.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 16:15
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.65%E -2.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 16:10
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.65%E -2.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 16:10
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 16:40
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 16:40
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 16:40
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 16:35
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.81%E -4.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.36%E -2.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 14:15
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.13%E -2.27%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.83%E -2.93%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 16:35
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.30%E -3.18%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 16:40
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.18%E -2.88%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.72%E -3.96%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 16:29
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -7.29%E -4.14%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.72%E -3.96%K -8.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 16:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-04-16 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-04-16 16:35
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-04-16 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-04-16 16:40
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-16 16:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-16 16:35
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-04-16 16:40
Novig1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%1.7%2026-04-16 16:40
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-04-16 16:35
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-04-16 16:35