Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v Milwaukee Brewers

Início: 2026-09-06 16:12 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 12–8 Milwaukee Brewers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 43.06%2.32odd justa
EV +1.19%
Vantagem +0.508%
Kelly +0.884%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.33%43.04%43.11%44.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.122.222.202.3547.17%45.14%45.45%42.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Previsão 56.94%1.76odd justa
EV -0.926%
Vantagem -0.532%
Kelly -1.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.84%56.96%56.89%58.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.681.681.7462.50%59.64%59.52%57.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 43.06%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante): 56.94%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.32. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.35, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.19%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV +1.19%E +0.508%K +0.884%G +0.011%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -3.77%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.7%2026-09-06 15:29
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.960%E -0.417%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.63%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-06 13:34
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.960%E -0.417%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 13:25
GTbets🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.39%E -0.607%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.63%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 16:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.82%E -0.799%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.63%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.82%E -0.799%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.63%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-06 16:10
BetUS🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -1.82%E -0.799%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.20%E -1.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-06 16:09
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -2.25%E -0.992%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.06%E -1.20%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-06 16:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.25%E -0.992%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 16:10
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.68%E -1.19%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.50%E -0.864%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 14:15
BetAnything🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.68%E -1.19%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.20%E -1.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 16:10
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.77%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 15:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 14:05
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 16:10
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 16:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 15:30
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.54%E -1.58%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.34%E -2.58%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 14:50
Bovada🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.54%E -1.58%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.34%E -2.58%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 15:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.77%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 15:59
DraftKings🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 16:10
SportsBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 14:50
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 14:50
Bet Right🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.40%E -1.98%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 13:40
theScore Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -4.84%E -2.19%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -0.926%E -0.532%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-06 15:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.63%E -1.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.20%E -1.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 13:30
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.20%E -1.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 13:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.20%E -1.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 15:25
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.20%E -1.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.20%E -1.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.20%E -1.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.20%E -1.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 13:25
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.20%E -1.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 16:10
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.77%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 13:30
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.77%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 13:24
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.34%E -2.58%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.34%E -2.58%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:05
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.34%E -2.58%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.34%E -2.58%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:05
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.34%E -2.58%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:05
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.34%E -2.58%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 15:05
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 16:10
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 13:40
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 16:09
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 15:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 13:40
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 13:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 15:55
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 16:10
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 16:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.62%E -4.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 16:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.62%E -4.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 16:10
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 13:45
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.27%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 16:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.70%E -2.60%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.34%E -2.58%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 14:09
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.13%E -2.81%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.34%E -2.58%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.99%E -3.24%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.99%E -3.24%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.20%E -1.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.20%E -1.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 13:30
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -8.28%E -3.89%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -6.62%E -4.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 15:43
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -8.71%E -4.11%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -7.19%E -4.41%K -11.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.35I 42.55%NM 42.54%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.46%0.0%2026-09-06 16:09
Novig◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-09-06 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-09-06 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-09-06 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-09-06 16:10
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-09-06 13:25
Polymarket◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-09-06 14:25
ProphetX◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%1.2%2026-09-06 16:10
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%1.9%2026-09-06 16:10
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%6.1%2026-09-06 16:10