La escuela de los momios

Cincinnati Reds v Milwaukee Brewers

Inicio: 2026-06-22 23:11 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 1–2 Milwaukee Brewers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Predicción 42.33%2.36momio equitativo
EV +0.740%
Ventaja +0.311%
Kelly +0.536%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.66%42.39%42.31%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.272.282.3846.51%44.05%43.86%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Predicción 57.67%1.73momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.807%
Kelly -1.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.14%57.61%57.69%59.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.651.651.7162.50%60.52%60.61%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetAnything2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV +0.740%E +0.311%K +0.536%G +0.004%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-22 22:20
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.530%E -0.226%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-22 22:10
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.530%E -0.226%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 17:09
GTbets2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.38%E -0.591%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.53%E -1.50%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-22 22:29
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -1.38%E -0.591%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -4.26%E -2.57%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-22 22:49
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.22%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.96%E -1.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-22 23:09
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.22%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.53%E -1.50%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-22 22:29
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.22%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.53%E -1.50%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-22 22:30
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.53%E -1.50%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-22 22:50
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-22 12:29
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-22 19:49
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-22 12:39
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 12:40
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 19:48
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.42%E -3.30%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:49
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.42%E -3.30%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:50
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.42%E -3.30%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:50
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.42%E -3.30%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:49
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.42%E -3.30%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.42%E -3.30%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:49
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.42%E -3.30%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:49
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.42%E -3.30%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:50
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.42%E -3.30%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:49
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.57%E -4.06%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:39
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.65%E -1.15%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.72%E -4.83%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 12:29
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -3.07%E -1.34%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.38%E -0.807%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-22 22:29
MyBookie.ag2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.07%E -1.34%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.26%E -2.57%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-22 19:49
DraftKings2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.07%E -1.34%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.42%E -3.30%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 20:09
FanDuel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.49%E -1.53%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.26%E -2.57%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 19:50
Bet Right2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.49%E -1.53%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.42%E -3.30%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 23:10
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.49%E -1.53%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.99%E -3.68%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:49
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.49%E -1.53%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.99%E -3.68%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:50
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.49%E -1.53%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.99%E -3.68%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:49
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.49%E -1.53%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.99%E -3.68%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:49
Coolbet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.92%E -1.73%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.42%E -3.30%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 23:08
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.76%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.11%E -1.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-22 16:09
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.76%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 15:29
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.76%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 23:07
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.76%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 12:39
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.76%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:49
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.76%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 15:09
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.76%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:49
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.76%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 15:09
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.76%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 15:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.76%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 21:30
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.76%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 21:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.76%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 21:39
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.76%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 21:39
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.76%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 21:29
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.76%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.42%E -3.30%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 15:09
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.76%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.99%E -3.68%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 22:59
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.76%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.72%E -4.83%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 20:49
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.76%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.72%E -4.83%K -12.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 22:49
Unibet (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -6.03%E -2.72%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -1.96%E -1.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-22 23:10
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.03%E -2.72%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.26%E -2.57%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 22:29
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.03%E -2.72%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.26%E -2.57%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 16:09
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.03%E -2.72%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.26%E -2.57%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 16:09
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.88%E -3.13%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 23:09
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.88%E -3.13%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.69%E -2.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 22:29
Betclic (FR)2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -7.30%E -3.33%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -7.15%E -4.44%K -11.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-22 22:43
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.00%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.11%E -1.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 23:10
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -9.00%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -4.26%E -2.57%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 23:09
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.00%E -4.18%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.84%E -2.93%K -7.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-22 22:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-06-22 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-06-22 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-06-22 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-06-22 23:10
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-06-22 22:40
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-06-22 19:50
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%1.2%2026-06-22 23:10
ProphetX2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%1.5%2026-06-22 23:10
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%1.9%2026-06-22 23:10
BetOpenly2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.6%2026-06-22 23:09