L’École des cotes

Cincinnati Reds v Houston Astros

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 22:11 UTC

Score final : Cincinnati Reds 0–10 Houston Astros

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prévision 53.97%1.85cote équitable
EV -1.24%
Avantage -0.677%
Kelly -1.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.25%53.96%54.06%55.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.781.781.8358.82%56.25%56.18%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Houston Astros (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.03%2.17cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.697%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.74%46.04%45.94%46.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.072.052.1450.00%48.41%48.78%46.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.24%E -0.677%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.41%E -1.14%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-08 17:29
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.24%E -0.677%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.33%E -1.59%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-08 22:04
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.32%E -1.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.49%E -0.697%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-08 22:04
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.32%E -1.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.95%E -0.917%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-08 21:59
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.32%E -1.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.95%E -0.917%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-08 22:04
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.32%E -1.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.95%E -0.917%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-08 21:44
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -2.32%E -1.28%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -4.25%E -2.05%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-08 20:04
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.86%E -1.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.49%E -0.697%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-08 22:09
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -2.86%E -1.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -5.17%E -2.51%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 20:04
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -2.86%E -1.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -5.17%E -2.51%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 20:04
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -2.86%E -1.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -5.17%E -2.51%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 21:53
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.86%E -1.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 17:30
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.86%E -1.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 17:29
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.86%E -1.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.86%E -1.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 17:29
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.86%E -1.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 21:59
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.40%E -1.90%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.25%E -2.05%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 21:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.40%E -1.90%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 20:04
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.40%E -1.90%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 20:04
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.40%E -1.90%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 20:04
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.40%E -1.90%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 20:04
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.40%E -1.90%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 20:04
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.40%E -1.90%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 20:04
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.40%E -1.90%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 20:04
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -3.40%E -1.90%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 20:04
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.33%E -1.59%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 20:29
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.71%E -2.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 22:08
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 21:39
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 17:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 17:29
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 19:59
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.10%E -2.99%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:04
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.10%E -2.99%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:04
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.10%E -2.99%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:04
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.10%E -2.99%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 20:04
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.56%E -3.23%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 22:04
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.94%E -2.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.56%E -3.23%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 22:00
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.59%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 20:30
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.59%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 22:04
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.59%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 17:44
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.33%E -1.59%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 17:29
Dabble (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.25%E -2.05%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 22:09
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.17%E -2.51%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 19:59
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 21:54
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 17:39
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 17:28
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.48%E -2.53%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 17:29
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.79%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 20:29
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 18:00
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.02%E -2.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:44
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.56%E -3.17%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 22:00
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.56%E -3.17%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 17:59
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.56%E -3.17%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.56%E -3.17%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 17:59
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.56%E -3.17%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.94%E -3.97%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 19:44
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.10%E -3.50%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 20:29
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.10%E -3.50%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 22:08
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.33%E -1.59%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 14:29
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.64%E -3.84%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.25%E -4.86%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.33%E -1.59%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 17:29
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.25%E -4.86%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.63%E -2.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 22:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-05-08 22:09
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-05-08 22:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-05-08 22:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-05-08 22:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-05-08 22:09
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-05-08 22:09
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-08 22:09
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-08 22:00
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-08 21:20
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-05-08 22:00