L’École des cotes

Cincinnati Reds v Atlanta Braves

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-31 17:41 UTC

Score final : Cincinnati Reds 6–4 Atlanta Braves

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prévision 46.74%2.14cote équitable
EV +0.500%
Avantage +0.233%
Kelly +0.435%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%46.71%46.75%48.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.052.052.1551.28%48.89%48.78%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlanta Braves (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.26%1.88cote équitable
EV -0.412%
Avantage -0.220%
Kelly -0.473%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.00%53.29%53.25%55.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.791.791.8758.48%55.81%55.87%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +0.500%E +0.233%K +0.435%G +0.002%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -8.93%E -5.22%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 17:29
BetAnything2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.902%E -0.426%K -0.806%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.61%E -1.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-31 17:39
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.84%E -0.875%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 15:50
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.30%E -1.10%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.54%E -1.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-31 17:29
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.77%E -1.33%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.48%E -0.798%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-31 16:50
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.77%E -1.33%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.48%E -0.798%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-31 17:00
Everygame2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.77%E -1.33%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.48%E -0.798%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-31 17:10
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.77%E -1.33%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.07%E -1.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-31 17:29
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.48%E -0.798%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-31 16:50
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.48%E -0.798%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-31 16:50
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -3.71%E -1.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -0.412%E -0.220%K -0.473%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-31 16:40
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.71%E -1.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.61%E -1.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-31 16:40
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.71%E -1.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 17:29
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.71%E -1.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 17:30
MyBookie.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.61%E -1.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-31 16:39
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 16:50
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 16:30
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 14:20
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 15:49
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 17:39
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 14:19
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 14:19
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 15:00
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 16:28
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 17:30
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 17:30
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 17:30
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 16:00
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 14:20
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 14:20
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 17:39
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.27%E -3.56%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 17:40
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 15:30
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 15:30
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 15:29
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 15:49
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.64%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 16:30
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.64%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.64%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 17:29
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.64%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 17:30
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.64%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 17:29
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.64%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 17:29
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.64%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 17:40
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.64%E -2.28%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 17:40
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 17:00
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 17:39
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 16:30
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 16:30
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.61%E -1.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 16:30
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 17:40
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 16:29
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 17:29
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 15:50
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.27%E -3.56%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 15:49
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 17:30
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 17:40
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 17:40
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.14%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-05-31 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-05-31 17:40
BetOpenly2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87%0.1%2026-05-31 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-31 17:30
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-31 14:30
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%1.7%2026-05-31 17:40
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-05-31 16:40
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%2.3%2026-05-31 17:40
Novig2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%2.5%2026-05-31 17:40
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%2.9%2026-05-31 17:40