Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v Athletics

Início: 2026-08-04 22:40 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 55.01%1.82odd justa
EV -0.975%
Vantagem -0.542%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.09%54.95%55.06%55.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.741.741.8059.88%57.52%57.47%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Athletics (Visitante)

Previsão 44.99%2.22odd justa
EV -0.130%
Vantagem -0.059%
Kelly -0.107%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.16%45.05%44.94%45.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.122.122.2248.78%47.09%47.17%45.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 55.01%; Athletics (Visitante): 44.99%. Para Athletics (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.223. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.220, com valor esperado de -0.130%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -0.975%E -0.542%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 22:15
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%EV -1.53%E -0.852%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%EV -1.93%E -0.885%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-04 22:40
DraftKings1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61%EV -0.580%E -0.263%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-04 19:24
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -1.03%E -0.468%K -0.858%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-04 22:34
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 22:40
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.63%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.03%E -0.468%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 22:10
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.63%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.03%E -0.468%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 22:04
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.63%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.93%E -0.885%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 22:10
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.63%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.93%E -0.885%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 22:09
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.63%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.93%E -0.885%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 22:34
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.63%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 22:40
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.63%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 22:10
Caesars1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -3.18%E -1.80%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.130%E -0.059%K -0.107%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-04 22:33
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.18%E -1.80%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 19:44
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.18%E -1.80%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 19:44
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.93%E -0.885%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 22:40
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 17:05
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 19:45
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 19:45
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 19:40
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 19:24
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 19:19
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 21:39
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.18%E -1.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 19:44
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 19:44
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 19:44
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 19:44
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 19:45
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 19:45
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:40
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 22:40
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 18:55
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.18%E -1.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:29
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:34
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 19:45
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:34
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:34
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:35
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:35
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:34
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:54
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 19:05
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 19:25
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 22:29
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:50
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:49
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 19:35
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 22:39
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 18:55
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:34
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:25
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 19:44
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 19:44
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 21:34
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 22:29
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 22:29
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.03%E -4.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 22:13
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 19:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-08-04 22:40
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-08-04 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-08-04 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-08-04 22:40
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-04 22:40
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-04 20:25
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-04 22:40
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-08-04 22:40
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-08-04 22:00
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.9%2026-08-04 22:40