La escuela de los momios

Chicago White Sox v Toronto Blue Jays

Inicio: 2026-04-05 18:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Predicción 40.13%2.49momio equitativo
EV +1.52%
Ventaja +0.602%
Kelly +0.995%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.44%39.97%40.15%41.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.272.372.352.5344.05%42.21%42.55%39.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Predicción 59.87%1.67momio equitativo
EV -0.612%
Ventaja -0.369%
Kelly -0.927%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.21%60.03%59.85%61.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.601.601.6666.67%62.50%62.50%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV +1.52%E +0.602%K +0.995%G +0.015%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -4.20%E -2.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-05 18:09
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV +1.12%E +0.445%K +0.738%G +0.008%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -4.20%E -2.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-05 18:09
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV +1.12%E +0.445%K +0.738%G +0.008%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -4.20%E -2.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-05 18:09
BetUS2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -0.885%E -0.358%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -4.20%E -2.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 18:09
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.69%E -0.689%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 17:25
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.69%E -0.689%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.60%E -4.23%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 17:20
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.69%E -0.689%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.80%E -5.06%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 18:10
Betway2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.69%E -0.689%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 18:09
Caesars2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.49%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 15:55
Bovada2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.49%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 18:09
Pinnacle2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -3.29%E -1.37%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.21%E -0.734%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-05 18:09
ReBet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.61%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 13:49
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.61%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 15:19
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.61%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 13:00
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.20%E -2.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.20%E -2.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 15:19
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.20%E -2.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 15:19
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 17:49
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 14:39
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.20%E -4.64%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 13:49
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.99%E -5.92%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 18:09
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.19%E -6.79%K -20.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 17:58
1xBet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -0.612%E -0.369%K -0.927%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-05 17:30
SportsBet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.40%E -3.42%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 16:15
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.50%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.01%E -1.86%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 16:14
MyBookie.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.50%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.61%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 15:59
Bet Right2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.50%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.20%E -2.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 13:49
Coolbet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.90%E -2.07%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:10
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.61%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 16:00
888sport2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.20%E -2.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 10:45
Mr Green (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.20%E -2.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 10:45
888sport (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.20%E -2.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 10:44
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.20%E -2.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.20%E -2.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 15:20
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.70%E -2.43%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.80%E -3.02%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 13:50
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -6.50%E -2.79%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.41%E -1.48%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 18:09
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -6.50%E -2.79%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.41%E -1.48%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 18:09
Betsson2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.50%E -2.79%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.61%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 18:08
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.90%E -2.98%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.01%E -1.86%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.90%E -2.98%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.01%E -1.86%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 18:09
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.90%E -2.98%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.01%E -1.86%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 18:09
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.90%E -2.98%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.01%E -1.86%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 18:09
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.90%E -2.98%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.01%E -1.86%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 18:09
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.90%E -2.98%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.61%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 17:25
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.21%E -0.734%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 18:10
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.41%E -1.48%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 18:09
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.01%E -1.86%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 17:54
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.01%E -1.86%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 18:09
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.61%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 18:09
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.61%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 18:09
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.61%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 18:10
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.61%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 18:09
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.61%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 18:09
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.61%E -2.24%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 18:10
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 15:45
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.71%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.00%E -3.82%K -10.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 16:00
NordicBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -8.91%E -3.93%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -2.41%E -1.48%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 18:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.52I 39.68%NM 40.00%1.68I 59.52%NM 60.00%-0.8%2026-04-05 18:09
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-04-05 18:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-04-05 18:10
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-04-05 12:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-04-05 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-04-05 18:10
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-04-05 18:10
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%2.7%2026-04-05 18:10
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%3.1%2026-04-05 18:10