La escuela de los momios

Chicago White Sox v Seattle Mariners

Inicio: 2026-05-10 18:11 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 2–1 Seattle Mariners

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Predicción 44.33%2.26momio equitativo
EV +1.08%
Ventaja +0.472%
Kelly +0.841%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.40%44.30%45.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.142.152.2848.78%46.65%46.62%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Predicción 55.67%1.80momio equitativo
EV +0.203%
Ventaja +0.113%
Kelly +0.253%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.09%55.60%55.70%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.721.731.8060.61%57.98%57.80%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Everygame2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +1.08%E +0.472%K +0.841%G +0.009%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -4.25%E -2.47%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-10 17:59
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +0.633%E +0.279%K +0.499%G +0.003%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.69%E -2.14%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-10 17:59
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.697%E -0.311%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.58%E -1.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-10 17:49
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.697%E -0.311%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.69%E -2.14%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-10 17:59
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.697%E -0.311%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.69%E -2.14%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-10 17:59
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.697%E -0.311%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.69%E -2.14%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-10 17:34
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.81%E -2.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 17:19
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.81%E -2.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 17:14
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.92%E -3.50%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 18:10
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.92%E -3.50%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 18:09
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.15%E -4.94%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 16:05
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.36%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.69%E -2.14%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 16:15
MyBookie.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.36%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.25%E -2.47%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 17:24
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.36%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.81%E -2.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 17:18
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.36%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.81%E -2.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 17:59
DraftKings2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.80%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.81%E -2.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 15:59
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV +0.203%E +0.113%K +0.253%G +0.001%1.9%2026-05-10 15:59
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.24%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 17:20
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.69%E -2.18%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.58%E -1.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 18:09
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.69%E -2.18%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 15:59
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.69%E -2.18%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.81%E -2.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 17:24
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.69%E -2.18%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.81%E -2.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 17:24
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.69%E -2.18%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.81%E -2.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 17:24
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.69%E -2.18%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.81%E -2.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 17:24
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.69%E -2.18%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.36%E -3.16%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 17:19
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.69%E -2.18%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.36%E -3.16%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 17:24
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.69%E -2.18%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.36%E -3.16%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 17:15
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.69%E -2.18%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.92%E -3.50%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 17:34
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.69%E -2.18%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.03%E -4.21%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 17:19
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.69%E -2.18%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.03%E -4.21%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 17:19
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -5.13%E -2.40%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -1.47%E -0.829%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 17:45
Bet Right2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.13%E -2.40%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.25%E -2.47%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 17:24
SportsBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.13%E -2.40%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.81%E -2.81%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 17:19
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.02%E -2.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.58%E -1.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 17:44
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.02%E -2.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.58%E -1.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 17:44
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.02%E -2.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.25%E -2.47%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:09
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.02%E -2.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.25%E -2.47%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:09
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.02%E -2.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.25%E -2.47%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.58%E -1.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 00:55
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.58%E -1.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 00:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.58%E -1.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 00:54
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.58%E -1.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 00:54
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 00:54
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:44
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:44
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:44
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:44
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:45
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:44
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:45
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:44
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:40
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:44
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:44
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.69%E -2.14%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 03:54
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.90%E -3.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.48%E -3.86%K -9.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 15:59
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -7.35%E -3.52%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:59
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.12%E -4.45%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.14%E -1.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 18:09
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.12%E -4.45%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.36%E -3.16%K -7.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 18:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21%-0.1%2026-05-10 18:09
Novig2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-05-10 18:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-05-10 18:09
ProphetX2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-05-10 18:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-05-10 17:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-05-10 17:49
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-10 17:39
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%1.7%2026-05-10 18:10
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.0%2026-05-10 18:10