Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox v New York Mets

Início: 2026-08-22 00:01 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 6–4 New York Mets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Previsão 54.03%1.85odd justa
EV -1.13%
Vantagem -0.617%
Kelly -1.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.88%54.08%54.07%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.681.771.781.8359.52%56.45%56.18%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Mets (Visitante)

Previsão 45.97%2.18odd justa
EV -0.701%
Vantagem -0.325%
Kelly -0.604%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.44%45.92%45.93%47.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.962.072.062.1651.02%48.24%48.54%46.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago White Sox (Local): 54.03%; New York Mets (Visitante): 45.97%. Para New York Mets (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.18. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.16, com valor esperado de -0.701%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.13%E -0.617%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.54%E -1.20%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-21 23:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.13%E -0.617%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.46%E -1.65%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 21:19
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.67%E -0.917%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.08%E -0.977%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-21 22:54
GTbets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.67%E -0.917%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.54%E -1.20%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 21:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.67%E -0.917%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.00%E -1.42%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 21:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.67%E -0.917%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.00%E -1.42%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 21:20
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%EV -2.21%E -1.22%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%EV -0.701%E -0.325%K -0.604%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-21 21:24
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.21%E -1.22%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.62%E -0.757%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-21 23:30
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.75%E -1.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.16%E -0.540%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 21:24
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.75%E -1.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.16%E -0.540%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 23:15
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.75%E -1.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.62%E -0.757%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.75%E -1.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.46%E -1.65%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-21 23:29
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.75%E -1.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 23:24
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.75%E -1.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 21:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.75%E -1.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 21:24
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.75%E -1.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-21 23:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.75%E -1.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.14%E -3.53%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 21:24
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.75%E -1.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.14%E -3.53%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 21:24
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.29%E -1.84%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.30%E -2.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:24
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.29%E -1.84%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.30%E -2.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.29%E -1.84%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.30%E -2.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:24
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.29%E -1.84%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.30%E -2.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.29%E -1.84%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.30%E -2.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.29%E -1.84%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.30%E -2.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.29%E -1.84%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.30%E -2.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.29%E -1.84%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.30%E -2.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:24
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.29%E -1.84%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.30%E -2.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:24
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.29%E -1.84%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.30%E -2.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 23:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.83%E -2.15%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.46%E -1.65%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.83%E -2.15%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.46%E -1.65%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 23:50
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.83%E -2.15%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.22%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 23:59
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.83%E -2.15%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.68%E -3.29%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 23:49
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.83%E -2.15%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.68%E -3.29%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 23:50
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.37%E -2.47%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.16%E -0.540%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-21 23:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.37%E -2.47%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.46%E -1.65%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 22:30
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.37%E -2.47%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.37%E -2.47%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 23:29
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.37%E -2.47%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:23
theScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -4.91%E -2.79%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -0.701%E -0.325%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-21 21:20
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.91%E -2.79%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.38%E -2.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 23:04
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.91%E -2.79%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.38%E -2.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.91%E -2.79%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.91%E -2.79%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 23:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.91%E -2.79%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.14%E -3.53%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 23:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.91%E -2.79%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.14%E -3.53%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 23:59
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.38%E -2.11%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 23:29
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 23:48
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 23:50
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.45%E -3.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 23:54
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.99%E -3.44%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.46%E -1.65%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 21:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.99%E -3.44%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 23:29
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.99%E -3.44%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 23:49
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.99%E -3.44%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 23:40
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.53%E -3.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.46%E -1.65%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:45
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.53%E -3.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.46%E -1.65%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.53%E -3.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.46%E -1.65%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.53%E -3.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.46%E -1.65%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 21:45
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.53%E -3.78%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.76%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 23:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -7.07%E -4.11%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.16%E -0.540%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 21:14
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.07%E -4.11%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -7.14%E -3.53%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-21 23:54
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -7.07%E -4.11%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -9.44%E -4.79%K -9.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 23:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.15%E -4.80%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.46%E -1.65%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 21:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.15%E -4.80%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.06%E -4.03%K -8.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 23:47
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -9.23%E -5.50%K -13.58%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -9.90%E -5.05%K -10.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-21 23:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.34%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.66%0.0%2026-08-21 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-08-21 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-08-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-08-22 00:00
ProphetX◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-08-21 23:55
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-08-21 23:49
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-21 21:20
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-21 21:19
Matchbook◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-08-21 23:45
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%3.3%2026-08-21 23:55