Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox v Minnesota Twins

Inicio: 2026-09-05 23:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Predicción 53.11%1.88momio equitativo
EV -0.161%
Ventaja -0.086%
Kelly -0.183%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.91%53.05%53.15%53.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.751.811.801.8857.14%55.17%55.56%53.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Predicción 46.89%2.13momio equitativo
EV -0.584%
Ventaja -0.276%
Kelly -0.522%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.05%46.95%46.85%49.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.882.012.022.1253.19%49.67%49.50%47.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chicago White Sox (Local): 53.11%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 46.89%. Para Chicago White Sox (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.883. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.880, con un valor esperado de -0.161%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -0.161%E -0.086%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -8.56%E -4.39%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-05 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -0.161%E -0.086%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -8.56%E -4.39%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-05 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -0.692%E -0.370%K -0.796%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -8.09%E -4.13%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -0.692%E -0.370%K -0.796%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -8.09%E -4.13%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -0.692%E -0.370%K -0.796%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -9.03%E -4.65%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:10
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -0.692%E -0.370%K -0.796%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -9.03%E -4.65%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:10
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.75%E -0.948%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.99%E -0.953%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-05 23:00
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.75%E -0.948%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.56%E -4.39%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.75%E -0.948%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.56%E -4.39%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.75%E -0.948%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.56%E -4.39%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.75%E -0.948%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.56%E -4.39%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.75%E -0.948%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.56%E -4.39%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -1.75%E -0.948%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -9.03%E -4.65%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -2.29%E -1.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -1.52%E -0.725%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -2.29%E -1.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -9.96%E -5.19%K -10.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -2.29%E -1.24%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -9.96%E -5.19%K -10.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:10
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.93%E -1.41%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.34%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-05 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.21%E -3.11%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-05 23:05
GTbets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.35%E -1.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.584%E -0.276%K -0.522%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Caesars🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.35%E -1.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.584%E -0.276%K -0.522%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-05 23:03
Everygame🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.35%E -1.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.584%E -0.276%K -0.522%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-05 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.35%E -1.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.05%E -0.499%K -0.949%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-05 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.35%E -1.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.05%E -0.499%K -0.949%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-05 23:05
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.35%E -1.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.05%E -0.499%K -0.949%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-05 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.35%E -1.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.34%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-05 23:04
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.35%E -1.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.27%E -2.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.88%E -2.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.40%E -1.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.27%E -2.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.27%E -2.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.27%E -2.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.27%E -2.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.21%E -3.11%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.21%E -3.11%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.21%E -3.11%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.21%E -3.11%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:09
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.21%E -3.11%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.21%E -3.11%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.21%E -3.11%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.56%E -4.39%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-05 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.94%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.34%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.94%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.80%E -2.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.94%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.27%E -2.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.94%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.27%E -2.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.94%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.27%E -2.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.23%EV -4.94%E -2.76%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.77%EV -11.84%E -6.30%K -13.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.21%E -3.11%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.15%E -3.61%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.06%E -4.04%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.87%E -1.89%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.06%E -4.04%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.21%E -3.11%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-05 23:03
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.06%E -4.04%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.21%E -3.11%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-05 23:10
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.06%E -4.04%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.21%E -3.11%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-05 23:10
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.06%E -4.04%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.21%E -3.11%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -7.06%E -4.04%K -9.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -8.09%E -4.13%K -8.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-05 23:01
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-09-05 23:05
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-09-05 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-09-05 23:10
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-09-05 23:05