Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-09-06 22:20 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 10–1 Minnesota Twins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Previsão 56.95%1.76odd justa
EV -2.62%
Vantagem -1.53%
Kelly -3.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.26%56.89%57.11%58.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.671.671.7162.50%59.79%59.88%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 43.05%2.32odd justa
EV -0.549%
Vantagem -0.238%
Kelly -0.419%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.33%43.11%42.89%44.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.232.242.3147.62%44.83%44.64%43.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago White Sox (Local): 56.95%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 43.05%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.32. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.31, com valor esperado de -0.549%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.62%E -1.53%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.980%E -0.426%K -0.754%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-06 06:54
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.62%E -1.53%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.980%E -0.426%K -0.754%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-06 22:10
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.62%E -1.53%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.980%E -0.426%K -0.754%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-06 22:05
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.62%E -1.53%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.41%E -0.616%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 19:35
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.62%E -1.53%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.41%E -0.616%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 22:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.62%E -1.53%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.27%E -1.00%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-06 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.62%E -1.53%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.27%E -1.00%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-06 22:10
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.62%E -1.53%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 20:55
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.19%E -1.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.19%E -1.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 22:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.19%E -1.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.42%E -1.99%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 20:50
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.19%E -1.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 21:55
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.19%E -1.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 22:10
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.19%E -1.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 22:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 11:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.42%E -1.99%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 21:08
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 21:00
betfred_uk🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 12:04
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 21:05
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 21:25
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 22:10
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -0.549%E -0.238%K -0.419%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-06 22:15
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -0.980%E -0.426%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-06 19:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -0.980%E -0.426%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-06 19:35
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.70%E -1.20%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-06 22:10
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 06:44
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 13:10
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 21:55
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 21:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 20:50
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 06:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 06:45
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 13:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 22:10
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.42%E -1.99%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 08:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 03:40
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 05:05
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 21:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 22:10
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 19:43
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -1.84%E -0.807%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 19:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -1.84%E -0.807%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 19:35
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 08:10
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 22:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.42%E -1.99%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 19:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 20:34
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.84%E -0.807%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 20:30
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.84%E -0.807%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 20:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.84%E -0.807%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 20:30
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.84%E -0.807%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 20:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.84%E -0.807%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 20:30
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.84%E -0.807%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 20:30
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 08:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 08:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 08:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 07:09
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.61%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 20:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -6.61%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -8.30%E -3.90%K -7.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 21:53
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.980%E -0.426%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 21:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 20:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 20:30
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.74%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.29%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 19:55
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -8.88%E -5.55%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -6.15%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 20:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.76I 56.82%NM 57.49%2.38I 42.02%NM 42.51%-1.2%2026-09-06 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-09-06 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-09-06 22:10
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-09-06 22:15
ProphetX◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-09-06 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-09-06 22:15
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-09-06 12:25
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-09-06 10:39
Novig◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-09-06 22:10
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-09-06 22:10