La escuela de los momios

Chicago White Sox v Kansas City Royals

Inicio: 2026-06-26 23:41 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 22–1 Kansas City Royals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Predicción 54.26%1.84momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -0.993%
Kelly -2.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%54.18%54.26%55.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.761.751.8158.82%56.87%57.14%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Predicción 45.74%2.19momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -0.767%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.74%45.82%45.74%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.092.102.1550.00%47.75%47.62%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%EV -1.80%E -0.993%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%EV -1.65%E -0.767%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-26 23:30
Everygame1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.80%E -0.993%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.56%E -1.20%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-26 20:09
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.80%E -0.993%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.02%E -1.43%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-26 23:39
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.65%E -0.767%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-26 20:10
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.65%E -0.767%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-26 23:39
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.56%E -1.20%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-26 23:39
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.56%E -1.20%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-26 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-26 22:00
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 23:40
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 23:40
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.88%E -1.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.11%E -0.985%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-26 23:39
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.88%E -1.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-26 21:49
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 21:50
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-26 23:25
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.42%E -1.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 23:40
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.65%E -0.767%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-26 23:29
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-26 21:59
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-26 23:29
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-26 20:09
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-26 20:09
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-26 20:09
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-26 08:19
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-26 20:04
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.22%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 20:10
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.39%E -2.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 20:59
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 20:59
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 20:59
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.02%E -1.43%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 23:29
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.02%E -1.43%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 23:29
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 20:59
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 20:59
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 20:59
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:40
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:40
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 21:59
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 20:08
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 23:19
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 23:28
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.59%E -3.22%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.02%E -1.43%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-26 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.59%E -3.22%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.02%E -1.43%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-26 23:29
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.59%E -3.22%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.02%E -1.43%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-26 23:29
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.59%E -3.22%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.02%E -1.43%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-26 23:29
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.59%E -3.22%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.02%E -1.43%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-26 23:29
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.59%E -3.22%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.02%E -1.43%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-26 23:28
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.59%E -3.22%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.02%E -1.43%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-26 23:30
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.59%E -3.22%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 23:29
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.59%E -3.22%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 23:29
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.59%E -3.22%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 23:29
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.59%E -3.22%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 23:29
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.59%E -3.22%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 23:39
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.59%E -3.22%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.22%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-26 23:29
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.59%E -3.22%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.22%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-26 22:50
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 20:59
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 20:59
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 20:59
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 20:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 20:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.22%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-26 21:19
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -7.22%E -4.22%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-26 23:29
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.22%E -4.22%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.60%E -3.76%K -7.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-26 23:19
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.77%E -4.57%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.94%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-26 20:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.52%0.3%2026-06-26 23:30
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-26 20:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-26 20:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.2%2026-06-26 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.2%2026-06-26 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.2%2026-06-26 23:40
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.6%2026-06-26 23:40
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-06-26 23:40
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-06-26 23:40
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%3.8%2026-06-26 23:29