Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-07-26 18:11 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 12–3 Houston Astros

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Previsão 52.33%1.91odd justa
EV -0.049%
Vantagem -0.026%
Kelly -0.054%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%52.29%52.22%53.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.771.841.831.9156.50%54.38%54.64%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 47.67%2.10odd justa
EV +0.107%
Vantagem +0.051%
Kelly +0.097%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.56%47.71%47.78%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.891.981.982.1052.91%50.46%50.51%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago White Sox (Local): 52.33%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 47.67%. Para Houston Astros (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.098. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.100, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.107%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -3.71%E -2.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV +0.107%E +0.051%K +0.097%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-26 18:09
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.24%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.107%E +0.051%K +0.097%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.24%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.370%E -0.177%K -0.340%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 17:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.24%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.370%E -0.177%K -0.340%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 18:00
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.19%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.32%E -0.639%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 18:05
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.14%E -1.15%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.80%E -0.874%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-26 17:55
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.24%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.80%E -0.874%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 18:00
Everygame🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.14%E -1.15%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.28%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 18:00
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.28%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 18:10
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.28%E -2.92%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -3.23%E -1.59%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 18:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.71%E -2.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 18:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.24%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 18:05
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.28%E -2.92%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.71%E -1.84%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -4.18%E -2.08%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 18:09
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.19%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.24%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:50
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.24%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:55
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.24%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.24%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:54
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.24%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:55
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.24%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:50
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.24%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.24%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:50
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:10
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.66%E -2.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 18:00
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -2.67%E -1.43%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.61%E -2.84%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 17:55
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.24%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.61%E -2.84%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.24%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.61%E -2.84%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 17:50
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.24%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.61%E -2.84%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 18:09
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.24%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.61%E -2.84%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 18:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.76%E -2.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.61%E -2.84%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.61%E -2.84%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 18:00
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -1.10%E -0.580%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -6.09%E -3.09%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-26 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -1.10%E -0.580%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -6.09%E -3.09%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-26 17:55
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.19%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.09%E -3.09%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.71%E -2.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.09%E -3.09%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.19%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.57%E -3.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 18:01
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.19%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.57%E -3.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 18:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.57%E -3.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.62%E -0.861%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.62%E -0.861%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.19%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 18:09
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.24%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 17:55
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 17:59
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 18:00
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.14%E -1.15%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.52%E -3.88%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 17:55
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.14%E -1.15%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.52%E -3.88%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.14%E -1.15%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.52%E -3.88%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 17:55
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.14%E -1.15%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.52%E -3.88%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.14%E -1.15%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.52%E -3.88%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 17:55
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.14%E -1.15%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.52%E -3.88%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.67%E -1.43%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.52%E -3.88%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.67%E -1.43%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.52%E -3.88%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.52%E -3.88%K -8.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 18:00
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.19%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.00%E -4.14%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 17:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.62%E -0.861%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.47%E -4.41%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 17:20
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.049%E -0.026%K -0.054%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.95%E -4.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 00:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.19%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.95%E -4.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 15:40
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.19%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.95%E -4.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.19%E -1.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.95%E -4.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 15:40
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.24%E -2.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.95%E -4.69%K -9.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 17:55
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -4.76%E -2.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -9.90%E -5.24%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 17:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.89I 52.91%NM 52.99%2.13I 46.95%NM 47.01%-0.1%2026-07-26 18:09
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%0.6%2026-07-26 18:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-07-26 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-07-26 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-07-26 18:05
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-07-26 18:10
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-26 18:05
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-07-26 18:10
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%4.6%2026-07-26 18:10