L’École des cotes

Chicago White Sox v Cleveland Guardians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-23 23:41 UTC

Score final : Chicago White Sox 2–1 Cleveland Guardians

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prévision 49.15%2.03cote équitable
EV -0.709%
Avantage -0.351%
Kelly -0.695%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.05%49.13%49.09%51.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.941.942.0254.05%51.42%51.55%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.85%1.97cote équitable
EV -0.850%
Avantage -0.436%
Kelly -0.895%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.68%50.87%50.91%51.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.871.871.9554.64%53.35%53.48%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.709%E -0.351%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.90%E -2.06%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 19:40
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.709%E -0.351%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.90%E -2.06%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 19:40
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.709%E -0.351%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.90%E -2.06%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 19:40
Everygame2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.709%E -0.351%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.90%E -2.06%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 12:19
BetUS2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.20%E -0.597%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.39%E -1.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 23:40
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.69%E -0.846%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.88%E -1.51%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.69%E -0.846%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 23:40
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.69%E -0.846%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 23:40
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.18%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.87%E -0.967%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-23 20:50
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.68%E -1.35%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.36%E -0.700%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-23 20:50
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.68%E -1.35%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.68%E -1.35%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 23:40
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.68%E -1.35%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 23:40
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.17%E -1.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.90%E -2.06%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-23 21:30
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.17%E -1.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 23:40
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.66%E -1.87%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.90%E -2.06%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-23 15:10
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.88%E -1.51%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-23 22:30
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.39%E -1.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-23 03:19
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.41%E -2.35%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-23 21:40
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.41%E -2.35%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-23 21:30
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 20:20
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 20:40
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 21:00
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 21:08
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 21:00
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 20:40
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.15%E -2.13%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.95%E -3.80%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 03:29
Unibet (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.64%E -2.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.39%E -1.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 23:40
MyBookie.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.64%E -2.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.39%E -1.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 23:38
Betr (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.64%E -2.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 20:40
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.64%E -2.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.64%E -2.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 21:30
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.64%E -2.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 21:40
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.64%E -2.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 21:40
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.64%E -2.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 21:40
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.64%E -2.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 21:40
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.64%E -2.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 21:30
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.64%E -2.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.92%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 21:40
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.64%E -2.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.92%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 21:30
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.13%E -2.66%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.41%E -2.35%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:39
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.13%E -2.66%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.41%E -2.35%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:19
SportsBet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.13%E -2.66%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 15:10
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.13%E -2.66%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 21:40
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.13%E -2.66%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 21:40
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.13%E -2.66%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.95%E -3.80%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 21:20
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.62%E -2.93%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.41%E -2.35%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:40
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.62%E -2.93%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.41%E -2.35%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 20:40
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.62%E -2.93%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.41%E -2.35%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 21:00
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.62%E -2.93%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.41%E -2.35%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 20:59
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.62%E -2.93%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 23:38
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.88%E -1.51%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 19:40
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 23:39
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-22 21:29
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-22 21:29
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-22 21:29
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.12%E -3.20%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.95%E -3.80%K -8.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 21:30
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.48%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.39%E -1.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:39
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.61%E -3.48%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.43%E -2.92%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-23 23:40
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.08%E -4.32%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.92%E -2.63%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 21:20
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.07%E -4.90%K -10.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.850%E -0.436%K -0.895%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 20:40
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.07%E -4.90%K -10.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.21%K -6.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-23 23:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-06-23 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-06-23 23:40
BetOpenly2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-06-23 23:39
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-06-23 23:40
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-23 20:50
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-23 17:30
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-06-23 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-06-23 23:40
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%2.6%2026-06-23 23:40
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%3.3%2026-06-23 23:40