Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-06-22 23:41 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 6–5 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Previsão 49.96%2.00odd justa
EV -2.08%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -2.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.68%49.90%50.00%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.911.911.9654.05%52.33%52.36%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 50.04%2.00odd justa
EV -1.42%
Vantagem -0.722%
Kelly -1.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.49%50.10%50.00%51.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.841.911.911.9754.35%52.40%52.36%50.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago White Sox (Local): 49.96%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 50.04%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.00. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.97, com valor esperado de -1.42%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.08%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.92%E -0.981%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-22 21:10
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.42%E -0.722%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-22 23:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.42%E -1.24%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-22 17:39
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.42%E -1.24%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-22 17:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.42%E -1.24%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-22 17:39
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.42%E -1.24%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-22 21:39
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.42%E -1.24%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-22 17:39
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-22 20:29
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 23:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 05:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.43%E -4.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 23:19
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.08%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-22 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.08%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-22 21:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.08%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-22 17:09
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.58%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.42%E -0.722%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-22 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.58%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-22 21:09
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-22 20:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.93%E -3.15%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 20:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.42%E -1.77%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-22 21:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.42%E -1.77%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-22 21:09
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 16:19
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 17:29
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 20:29
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 23:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 17:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 17:29
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 18:49
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 16:19
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 23:39
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 20:29
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 16:09
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 18:49
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.93%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 23:30
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.43%E -2.87%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 18:49
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 23:40
Bovada🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 23:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 01:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 20:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 21:00
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 16:09
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 20:59
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 21:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 23:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 21:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.93%E -3.72%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-22 20:29
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 21:09
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 21:09
LeoVegas🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 21:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 21:10
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 21:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 21:09
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 21:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 21:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 21:10
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.07%E -3.23%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-22 21:09
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.07%E -3.23%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-22 21:09
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 21:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40%EV -7.93%E -4.31%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-22 23:18
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.93%E -3.15%K -6.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-22 21:09
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.43%E -4.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-22 23:28
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-06-22 23:39
ProphetX2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-06-22 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-06-22 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-06-22 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-06-22 23:30
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-22 12:20
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-22 21:50
BetOpenly1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.3%2026-06-22 23:39
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.8%2026-06-22 23:20
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%3.2%2026-06-22 23:40