Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-08-11 23:41 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 4–5 Cincinnati Reds

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Previsão 58.85%1.70odd justa
EV -1.14%
Vantagem -0.679%
Kelly -1.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.59%58.77%58.86%59.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.541.621.621.6864.94%61.64%61.73%59.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 41.15%2.43odd justa
EV -0.406%
Vantagem -0.168%
Kelly -0.286%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.20%41.23%41.14%42.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.332.332.4245.45%42.93%42.92%41.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago White Sox (Local): 58.85%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 41.15%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.43. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.42, com valor esperado de -0.406%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -1.14%E -0.679%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -2.05%E -0.862%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-11 20:34
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.73%E -1.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.23%E -0.512%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-11 21:13
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.73%E -1.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.23%E -0.512%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-11 20:25
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.73%E -1.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -2.05%E -0.862%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-11 17:49
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.73%E -1.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.46%E -1.04%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 23:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -1.73%E -1.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.87%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 23:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -1.73%E -1.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.87%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 23:35
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.32%E -1.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -2.87%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-11 22:49
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.91%E -1.76%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.406%E -0.168%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-11 17:05
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.91%E -1.76%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.23%E -0.512%K -0.878%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 23:40
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.91%E -1.76%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.87%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-11 23:34
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.91%E -1.76%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-11 05:34
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.91%E -1.76%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 20:35
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.91%E -1.76%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 23:35
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.91%E -1.76%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 20:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.49%E -2.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -4.11%E -1.76%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 21:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.49%E -2.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.52%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 20:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.49%E -2.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 23:19
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.49%E -2.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 23:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.49%E -2.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 22:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.08%E -2.50%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-10 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.08%E -2.50%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 20:15
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.23%E -0.512%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-11 20:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.23%E -0.512%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-11 20:29
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 23:19
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.52%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 17:04
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 17:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 17:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 17:04
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 20:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 20:34
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.67%E -2.88%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.05%E -0.862%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 20:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.05%E -0.862%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 20:29
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.46%E -1.04%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 23:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.46%E -1.04%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 23:20
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.46%E -1.04%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 22:59
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.11%E -1.76%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 19:59
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.11%E -1.76%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 13:19
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.11%E -1.76%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 13:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.52%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 23:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.26%E -3.27%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 23:29
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.05%E -0.862%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 20:29
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.05%E -0.862%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 20:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.05%E -0.862%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 20:29
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.05%E -0.862%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 20:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.05%E -0.862%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 20:30
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.05%E -0.862%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 20:29
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 17:09
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.29%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 20:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 07:00
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 23:28
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.85%E -3.65%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.46%E -4.30%K -7.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 23:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -6.44%E -4.05%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -8.64%E -3.89%K -7.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-11 23:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.11%E -1.76%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 20:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.11%E -1.76%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 20:29
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.61%E -4.85%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.34%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 21:15
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -9.38%E -6.09%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -6.17%E -2.70%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 20:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%0.1%2026-08-11 23:34
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-11 22:59
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-11 18:14
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-11 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-11 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-11 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-11 23:40
ProphetX◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-08-11 23:40
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-08-11 23:40
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-08-11 22:10