La escuela de los momios

Chicago White Sox v Athletics

Inicio: 2026-07-10 23:41 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 14–1 Athletics

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Predicción 61.74%1.62momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.755%
Kelly -2.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.25%61.78%61.63%62.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.551.551.6066.67%64.45%64.52%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Athletics (Visitante)

Predicción 38.26%2.61momio equitativo
EV -0.153%
Ventaja -0.059%
Kelly -0.095%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.04%38.22%38.37%39.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.482.462.6142.02%40.36%40.65%38.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -1.21%E -0.755%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -5.13%E -2.07%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-10 21:50
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.83%E -1.15%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.07%E -0.807%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-10 23:14
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.44%E -1.55%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.30%E -0.504%K -0.823%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 23:29
GTbets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -0.153%E -0.059%K -0.095%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-10 23:39
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -0.918%E -0.355%K -0.578%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-10 23:39
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -0.918%E -0.355%K -0.578%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-10 23:39
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -1.68%E -0.655%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-10 23:39
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -2.07%E -0.807%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-10 23:39
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 21:50
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 21:49
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 21:49
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 21:50
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 21:49
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 21:49
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 21:50
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.04%E -2.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 21:50
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 21:49
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 21:49
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 22:20
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.30%E -0.504%K -0.823%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-10 23:40
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.45%E -0.960%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-10 23:34
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 20:50
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 22:49
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 22:49
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 22:55
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 21:49
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 21:50
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 23:39
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.45%E -0.960%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 23:34
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -3.21%E -1.27%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 23:38
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-10 23:39
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 23:19
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.51%E -2.23%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 23:29
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:49
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 22:54
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 23:39
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 23:29
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.91%E -3.19%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.45%E -0.960%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 23:39
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.91%E -3.19%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.21%E -1.27%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-10 23:35
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.91%E -3.19%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 22:49
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.91%E -3.19%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.13%E -2.07%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 20:49
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.91%E -3.19%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.13%E -2.07%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 23:19
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.91%E -3.19%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.13%E -2.07%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 23:19
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -4.91%E -3.19%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 21:50
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.30%E -0.504%K -0.823%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 23:33
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.45%E -0.960%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 23:39
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 23:39
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 23:39
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 23:34
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 22:05
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 22:05
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 22:05
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.53%E -3.61%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-10 21:15
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.15%E -4.04%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-10 23:35
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.15%E -4.04%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-10 23:35
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.77%E -4.48%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 23:38
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.38%E -4.92%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.45%E -0.960%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 22:49
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.38%E -4.92%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 23:26
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-07-10 23:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-07-10 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-07-10 23:40
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-10 22:54
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-10 22:15
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-10 23:40
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-07-10 23:40
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-07-10 23:40
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%2.4%2026-07-10 23:35
BetOpenly1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%2.9%2026-07-10 23:39