مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chicago Cubs v Pittsburgh Pirates

البداية: 2026-04-10 18:21 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chicago Cubs (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.49%1.71السعر العادل
EV -1.74%
الأفضلية -1.03%
Kelly -2.56%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.85%58.41%58.59%59.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.561.631.631.6864.10%61.31%61.35%59.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Pittsburgh Pirates (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.51%2.41السعر العادل
EV -0.789%
الأفضلية -0.330%
Kelly -0.567%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.39

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.05%41.59%41.41%43.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.262.252.3946.51%44.25%44.44%41.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.74%E -1.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-10 18:05
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -1.20%E -0.506%K -0.872%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-10 18:10
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.86%E -1.22%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-10 18:19
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 17:35
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 17:35
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -7.85%E -3.53%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 18:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.68%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 13:59
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.91%E -1.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -0.789%E -0.330%K -0.567%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-10 18:15
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.91%E -1.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.20%E -0.506%K -0.872%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-10 18:15
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.91%E -1.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.20%E -0.506%K -0.872%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-10 18:15
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.91%E -1.75%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.68%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 18:19
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -0.789%E -0.330%K -0.567%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-10 18:10
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 18:10
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 18:10
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 18:05
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 17:35
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.49%E -2.12%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 17:35
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.69%E -1.59%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 18:05
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 18:05
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 17:15
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 18:19
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 18:20
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 18:19
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 18:20
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 18:19
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.08%E -2.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -7.43%E -3.33%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 18:19
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -3.69%E -1.59%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 18:08
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 18:10
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.94%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 18:05
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.35%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 18:05
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -8.68%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 18:20
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 18:05
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 18:05
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 18:10
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 17:09
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -7.02%E -3.13%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 18:19
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -9.51%E -4.36%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 18:20
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -9.51%E -4.36%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 18:20
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -9.51%E -4.36%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 18:19
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.25%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -9.51%E -4.36%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 18:20
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 18:20
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 18:20
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.68%E -3.94%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 18:20
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -9.92%E -4.57%K -8.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 18:20
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 14:34
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.52%E -1.97%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 18:20
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 17:09
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -10.34%E -4.79%K -8.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.42%E -4.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:19
Betsson1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.00%E -4.40%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 18:20
NordicBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.00%E -4.40%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.60%E -2.93%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 18:20
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.17%E -5.21%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 18:20
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.17%E -5.21%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.45%E -1.04%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.76%E -5.61%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.75%E -5.00%K -9.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 18:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-04-10 18:20
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-10 17:55
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-04-10 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-04-10 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-04-10 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-04-10 18:20
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93%1.4%2026-04-10 18:20
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-04-10 18:20
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.9%2026-04-10 18:19
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%3.1%2026-04-10 18:20