La scuola delle quote

Chicago Cubs v Philadelphia Phillies

Inizio: 2026-04-20 23:41 UTC

Finale: Chicago Cubs 5–1 Philadelphia Phillies

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Casa)

Previsione 50.67%1.97quota equa
EV -0.182%
Vantaggio -0.093%
Kelly -0.188%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.97

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.49%50.69%50.66%52.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.881.881.9755.56%53.17%53.19%50.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.33%2.03quota equa
EV -2.32%
Vantaggio -1.17%
Kelly -2.37%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.75%49.31%49.34%50.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.881.941.941.9853.19%51.66%51.55%50.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -0.182%E -0.093%K -0.188%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -4.79%E -2.48%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-20 23:34
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -0.182%E -0.093%K -0.188%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -4.79%E -2.48%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-20 23:35
GTbets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -0.182%E -0.093%K -0.188%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -4.79%E -2.48%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-20 23:35
BetUS1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -0.182%E -0.093%K -0.188%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -4.79%E -2.48%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-20 23:35
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.20%E -0.613%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-20 23:35
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.70%E -0.878%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.32%E -1.17%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-20 23:24
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.70%E -0.878%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.32%E -1.17%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-20 23:35
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77%EV -3.22%E -1.69%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.23%EV -2.82%E -1.43%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-20 23:35
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.22%E -1.69%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.80%E -1.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-20 21:35
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.69%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.78%E -3.02%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:34
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.69%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.78%E -3.02%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 03:09
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.69%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.78%E -3.02%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:39
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.73%E -1.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.80%E -1.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 23:00
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.73%E -1.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.27%E -3.30%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 23:39
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.73%E -1.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.27%E -3.30%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 23:40
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.24%E -2.24%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.79%E -2.48%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:33
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -2.82%E -1.43%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 21:39
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.80%E -1.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-20 21:40
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.30%E -2.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:35
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.30%E -2.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:35
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.30%E -2.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:35
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.30%E -2.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:34
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.30%E -2.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:35
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.30%E -2.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.30%E -2.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:35
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.30%E -2.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:35
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.30%E -2.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:35
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.79%E -2.48%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 21:35
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.28%E -2.75%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 23:25
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.28%E -2.75%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 23:05
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.26%E -3.86%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 23:39
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.25%E -2.81%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.80%E -1.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 13:24
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.25%E -2.81%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.80%E -1.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:25
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.25%E -2.81%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.80%E -1.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 21:35
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.25%E -2.81%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.80%E -1.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 17:34
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.25%E -2.81%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.80%E -1.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 13:45
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.25%E -2.81%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.80%E -1.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 23:39
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.25%E -2.81%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.30%E -2.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 23:35
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.25%E -2.81%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.30%E -2.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 23:35
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.25%E -2.81%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.30%E -2.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.25%E -2.81%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.30%E -2.22%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 23:39
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.25%E -2.81%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.79%E -2.48%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 23:34
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.25%E -2.81%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.78%E -3.02%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 23:09
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.25%E -2.81%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.78%E -3.02%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 23:40
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.76%E -3.09%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.32%E -1.17%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 21:30
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.26%E -3.39%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.82%E -1.43%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 23:39
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.26%E -3.39%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.31%E -1.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 21:25
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.26%E -3.39%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.80%E -1.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:24
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.26%E -3.39%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.80%E -1.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:25
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.26%E -3.39%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.80%E -1.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.26%E -3.39%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.80%E -1.95%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 23:39
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.26%E -3.39%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.79%E -2.48%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 23:40
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.26%E -3.39%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.28%E -2.75%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 23:29
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.26%E -3.39%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.78%E -3.02%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 17:50
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.26%E -3.39%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.78%E -3.02%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 17:50
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.26%E -3.39%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.78%E -3.02%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 17:50
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.28%E -3.98%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.78%E -3.02%K -6.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 21:25
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -7.28%E -3.98%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -6.76%E -3.58%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 23:40
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -7.78%E -4.28%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -7.26%E -3.86%K -8.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.80%E -4.89%K -11.00%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -2.82%E -1.43%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 21:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-04-20 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-04-20 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-04-20 23:35
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-04-20 23:35
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-20 23:40
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.98%1.6%2026-04-20 23:39
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.98%1.6%2026-04-20 23:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-04-20 20:35
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-04-20 23:35
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%3.4%2026-04-20 23:39