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Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Predicción 42.64%2.35momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.653%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.03%42.98%42.68%46.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.212.232.3150.00%45.29%44.84%43.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)
Predicción 57.36%1.74momio equitativo
EV +0.385%
Ventaja +0.220%
Kelly +0.513%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.48%57.02%57.32%58.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.671.671.7562.50%59.82%59.88%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chicago Cubs (Local): 42.64%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante): 57.36%. Para Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.74. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.385%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -10.46%E -4.98%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +0.385%E +0.220%K +0.513%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -14.73%E -7.36%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -0.189%E -0.109%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -12.17%E -5.91%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -1.34%E -0.777%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.93%E -0.841%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.91%E -1.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.93%E -0.841%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.91%E -1.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.91%E -1.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 21:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.91%E -1.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.64%E -1.61%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -1.91%E -1.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-02 23:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -8.76%E -4.09%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -1.91%E -1.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -8.76%E -4.09%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -1.91%E -1.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -8.76%E -4.09%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -1.91%E -1.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -8.76%E -4.09%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -1.91%E -1.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -8.76%E -4.09%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -1.91%E -1.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -8.76%E -4.09%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -1.91%E -1.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -12.59%E -6.14%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -1.91%E -1.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.93%E -0.841%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.48%E -1.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-02 23:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.48%E -1.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.48%E -1.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-02 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.46%E -4.98%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.48%E -1.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.46%E -4.98%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.48%E -1.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.46%E -4.98%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.48%E -1.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -11.31%E -5.44%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -2.48%E -1.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.79%E -1.22%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.06%E -1.81%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -1.51%E -0.653%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.63%E -2.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-02 21:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.63%E -2.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 23:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -11.31%E -5.44%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -3.63%E -2.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.93%E -0.841%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.64%E -1.61%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 23:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 21:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.77%E -2.61%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 23:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.33%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.33%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.46%E -4.98%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.20%E -2.52%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.79%E -1.22%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.78%E -2.88%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 21:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.34%E -2.41%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.78%E -2.88%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.34%E -2.41%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.78%E -2.88%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 23:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.78%E -2.88%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.78%E -2.88%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.93%E -0.841%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.35%E -3.24%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.64%E -1.61%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.35%E -3.24%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.35%E -3.24%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.35%E -3.24%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.35%E -3.24%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.35%E -3.24%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.35%E -3.24%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 21:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.35%E -3.24%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.35%E -3.24%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 21:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.35%E -3.24%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 23:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.35%E -3.24%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 23:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.33%E -3.87%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.35%E -3.24%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.93%E -3.61%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.93%E -3.61%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.20%E -2.82%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.93%E -3.61%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.50%E -3.99%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.07%E -1.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.50%E -3.99%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 23:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.49%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.50%E -3.99%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.92%E -2.21%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.50%E -3.99%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.92%E -2.21%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.50%E -3.99%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.93%E -0.841%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.07%E -4.37%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 04:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -6.62%E -3.02%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -7.65%E -4.75%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 23:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.93%E -0.841%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.22%E -5.14%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 21:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -7.48%E -3.45%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -8.22%E -5.14%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 23:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-09-02 21:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 23:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 23:39 |