Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers

Início: 2026-09-01 23:41 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 4–9 Milwaukee Brewers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 53.06%1.88odd justa
EV -2.38%
Vantagem -1.29%
Kelly -2.83%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.84

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.07%53.05%54.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.721.791.801.8458.14%55.75%55.56%54.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Previsão 46.94%2.13odd justa
EV +0.460%
Vantagem +0.215%
Kelly +0.404%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.17%46.93%46.95%48.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.902.032.022.1452.63%49.26%49.50%46.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago Cubs (Local): 53.06%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante): 46.94%. Para Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.13. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.14, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.460%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -5.56%E -3.12%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV +0.460%E +0.215%K +0.404%G +0.002%2.9%2026-09-01 22:25
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -3.44%E -1.89%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -0.009%E -0.004%K -0.008%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-01 14:40
GTbets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.44%E -1.89%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.479%E -0.226%K -0.427%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-01 23:39
Everygame🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.44%E -1.89%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.479%E -0.226%K -0.427%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-01 17:14
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.97%E -2.19%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.479%E -0.226%K -0.427%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-01 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.44%E -1.89%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.948%E -0.449%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.44%E -1.89%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.948%E -0.449%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 23:40
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -0.948%E -0.449%K -0.854%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-01 16:20
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -2.38%E -1.29%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -1.42%E -0.675%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-01 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.21%E -4.75%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.42%E -0.675%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 23:40
Caesars🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.38%E -1.29%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.36%E -1.13%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-01 20:00
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -5.03%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.36%E -1.13%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 13:15
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.09%E -3.44%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.30%E -1.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:45
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-01 21:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.44%E -1.89%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 21:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 21:39
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 21:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 21:45
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 21:45
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 21:50
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 21:45
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.09%E -3.44%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 23:25
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.76%E -1.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -3.44%E -1.89%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -4.70%E -2.32%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 23:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.91%E -1.59%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 23:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.44%E -1.89%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.97%E -2.19%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:35
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.97%E -2.19%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:35
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 21:45
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 21:45
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 21:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 22:25
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.03%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:50
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.03%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 21:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.03%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.17%E -2.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 23:39
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -6.62%E -3.76%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -5.64%E -2.81%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 23:40
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.06%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 23:00
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.06%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 23:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.06%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.06%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 21:45
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.06%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 23:39
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.06%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.06%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.06%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 23:40
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.06%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 22:35
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.06%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 23:40
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.11%E -3.06%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 20:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.03%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.11%E -3.06%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 23:30
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.09%E -3.44%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.11%E -3.06%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.09%E -3.44%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.11%E -3.06%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 21:10
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.15%E -4.09%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.11%E -3.06%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 21:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.03%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -7.05%E -3.56%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.03%E -2.81%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -7.05%E -3.56%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 22:35
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.56%E -3.12%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.52%E -3.82%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -6.09%E -3.44%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -7.99%E -4.08%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.62%E -3.76%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.99%E -4.08%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 23:14
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 23:29
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.50%E -2.50%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 23:30
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -6.62%E -3.76%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -8.46%E -4.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -8.74%E -5.08%K -12.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -10.81%E -5.69%K -12.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-01 23:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-09-01 23:39
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-09-01 23:40
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-01 22:55
Matchbook◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-09-01 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-09-01 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-09-01 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-09-01 23:40
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-09-01 23:40
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%3.3%2026-09-01 23:40
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 48.18%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.82%12.2%2026-09-01 23:40