Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago Cubs v Los Angeles Dodgers

2026-08-05 18:21 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 53.31%1.88cote équitable
EV -0.306%
Avantage -0.164%
Kelly -0.352%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.05%53.24%53.28%53.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.721.801.801.8758.14%55.44%55.56%53.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.69%2.14cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.706%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.05%46.76%46.72%48.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.892.022.022.1152.91%49.54%49.50%47.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Chicago Cubs (Local) : 53.31% ; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visiteur) : 46.69%. Pour Chicago Cubs (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.88. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.87, pour une espérance de -0.306% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.306%E -0.164%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 02:25
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.37%E -0.742%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.42%E -1.16%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-05 01:49
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.37%E -0.742%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -8.03%E -4.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 00:25
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.37%E -0.742%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -8.03%E -4.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 00:25
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.37%E -0.742%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -8.03%E -4.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 00:25
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.37%E -0.742%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -8.03%E -4.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 00:24
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.37%E -0.742%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.49%E -4.33%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 00:24
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.37%E -0.742%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.49%E -4.33%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 00:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.37%E -0.742%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.49%E -4.33%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 00:25
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.37%E -0.742%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.49%E -4.33%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 00:25
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.37%E -0.742%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.49%E -4.33%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 00:24
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.37%E -0.742%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.49%E -4.33%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 00:25
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.49%E -0.706%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 20:10
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.96%E -0.931%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 20:10
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.96%E -0.931%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 20:09
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.96%E -0.931%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 20:09
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.96%E -0.931%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 23:25
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.96%E -0.931%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 00:14
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.96%E -0.931%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 00:19
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 00:24
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -2.97%E -1.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -9.43%E -4.86%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 00:25
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -2.97%E -1.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -9.43%E -4.86%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 00:25
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 22:50
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 01:25
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 19:29
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 20:00
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:14
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:39
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:40
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 02:30
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 00:34
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:00
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:39
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 00:34
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 22:49
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 22:19
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 00:35
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:24
Bovada1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.57%E -2.55%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 22:54
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.57%E -2.55%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:29
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.57%E -2.55%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 01:44
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 20:10
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.22%E -2.57%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 01:20
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.22%E -2.57%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 01:20
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 19:44
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -11.76%E -6.22%K -13.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-05 00:24
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.64%E -3.18%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:49
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.64%E -3.18%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 19:29
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.64%E -3.18%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 19:28
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.70%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 19:35
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.70%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 19:35
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.70%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 19:35
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.70%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 19:30
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.70%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 19:28
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.24%E -4.16%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.56%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 00:25
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 01:55
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.30%E -4.83%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -7.56%E -3.82%K -7.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 19:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-08-05 02:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-05 02:05
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-04 23:20
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-08-05 02:10
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%3.3%2026-08-04 23:30
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 53.15%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%10.0%2026-08-04 19:30