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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Chicago Cubs v Atlanta Braves

Início: 2026-09-15 23:40 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 3–6 Atlanta Braves

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 56.53%1.77odd justa
EV -1.07%
Vantagem -0.613%
Kelly -1.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.55%56.54%56.56%58.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.691.691.7562.50%59.23%59.35%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Previsão 43.47%2.30odd justa
EV -0.454%
Vantagem -0.198%
Kelly -0.352%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.56%43.46%43.44%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.192.202.2948.78%45.64%45.45%43.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago Cubs (Local): 56.53%; Atlanta Braves (Visitante): 43.47%. Para Atlanta Braves (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.30. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.29, com valor esperado de -0.454%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.07%E -0.613%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:00
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.64%E -0.941%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.71%E -4.15%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 22:40
Everygame🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.32%E -0.583%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-15 12:45
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.20%E -1.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.76%E -0.778%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-15 22:50
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -2.77%E -1.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -0.454%E -0.198%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-15 23:35
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.77%E -1.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -1.32%E -0.583%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-15 21:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.77%E -1.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.76%E -0.778%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-15 23:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.77%E -1.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.76%E -0.778%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-15 23:35
BetAnything🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -2.77%E -1.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -3.50%E -1.58%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-15 23:35
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -2.77%E -1.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.77%E -1.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 03:15
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.77%E -1.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 22:00
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.76%E -0.778%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-15 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 23:35
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 19:10
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 19:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 20:55
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 03:25
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 21:20
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 05:59
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 05:39
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 22:40
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 22:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.90%E -2.29%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 23:35
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.50%E -1.58%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 22:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.50%E -1.58%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 22:20
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.93%E -1.78%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 22:19
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 23:34
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 13:20
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.46%E -2.64%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 21:58
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 22:30
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 22:50
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 22:50
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 22:50
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 22:50
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 22:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 22:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.80%E -2.19%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 22:50
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 22:19
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 22:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 20:25
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 22:30
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 20:25
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.59%E -3.35%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 21:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 22:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.67%E -2.61%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 22:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.16%E -3.71%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 22:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.73%E -4.08%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 21:50
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.73%E -4.08%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.54%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 23:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -7.29%E -4.45%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 23:10
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -7.86%E -4.82%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -7.84%E -3.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 22:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -8.99%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -10.89%E -5.31%K -10.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-15 23:35
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.19%E -0.975%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 23:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%0.8%2026-09-15 23:35
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-09-15 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-09-15 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-09-15 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-09-15 23:35
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-09-15 13:20
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-15 22:20
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-15 23:35
BetOpenly◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-09-15 22:55
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-09-15 22:50