A Escola das Odds

Chicago Cubs v Athletics

Início: 2026-06-04 00:06 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 4–5 Athletics

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 55.17%1.81odd justa
EV -2.36%
Vantagem -1.33%
Kelly -3.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.23%55.16%55.21%55.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.691.731.731.7759.17%57.73%57.80%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Athletics (Visitante)

Previsão 44.83%2.23odd justa
EV -0.469%
Vantagem -0.211%
Kelly -0.384%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.22%44.84%44.79%45.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.132.142.2248.78%46.87%46.73%45.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.37%E -0.621%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-04 00:00
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -1.81%E -0.828%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-03 23:30
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.91%E -1.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.469%E -0.211%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-03 21:39
Everygame1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.91%E -1.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.917%E -0.415%K -0.758%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-03 23:29
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.91%E -1.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.37%E -0.621%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-03 21:39
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.91%E -1.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.37%E -0.621%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-03 21:39
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.91%E -1.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.37%E -0.621%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-03 23:30
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -1.37%E -0.621%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-03 22:00
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -2.71%E -1.25%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-03 22:59
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-03 21:19
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.06%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 21:20
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.06%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 22:10
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.06%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 21:29
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 14:30
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 21:20
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 14:30
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 21:59
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 21:20
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.50%E -2.11%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 14:29
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 21:19
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.01%E -2.31%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 21:20
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 21:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 21:39
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 22:59
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 22:59
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.06%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 22:59
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.06%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 22:59
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.06%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.06%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 22:59
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.06%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 23:00
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.06%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 22:59
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.06%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 23:00
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.06%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 23:00
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.95%E -2.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 21:30
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.95%E -2.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 21:29
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.40%E -2.56%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 21:19
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 14:39
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 16:10
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 14:40
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 14:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 15:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 16:19
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-03 21:39
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 21:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 21:39
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 21:30
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 23:30
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:59
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:59
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:59
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:59
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 21:30
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.95%E -2.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 21:30
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-03 23:50
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-03 21:20
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-03 21:10
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 22:19
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.61%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 23:59
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 16:40
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-03 23:59
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-03 21:20
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-03 23:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-06-04 00:00
ProphetX1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-04 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-04 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-04 00:00
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-04 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-06-04 00:00
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-03 21:20
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-03 23:50
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-06-03 23:50
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-06-04 00:00