L’École des cotes

Chicago Cubs v Athletics

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-05 00:06 UTC

Score final : Chicago Cubs 7–6 Athletics

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 56.44%1.77cote équitable
EV -1.80%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -2.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.26%56.48%56.43%57.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.641.691.701.7460.98%59.07%58.82%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Athletics (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.56%2.30cote équitable
EV +0.633%
Avantage +0.274%
Kelly +0.483%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.39%43.52%43.57%44.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.202.202.3147.62%45.53%45.45%43.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV +0.633%E +0.274%K +0.483%G +0.003%2.1%2026-06-05 00:00
Everygame1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.93%E -1.70%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.674%E -0.295%K -0.526%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-04 23:19
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.37%E -1.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.11%E -0.489%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-04 22:39
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.37%E -1.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.54%E -0.684%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-04 22:49
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.49%E -2.04%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.54%E -0.684%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-04 21:59
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.93%E -1.70%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.98%E -0.880%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-04 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.98%E -0.880%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 22:09
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.37%E -1.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.42%E -1.08%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-04 22:39
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.19%E -3.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.42%E -1.08%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-04 23:49
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.80%E -1.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.85%E -1.28%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-04 21:30
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.93%E -1.70%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.85%E -1.28%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-05 00:00
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.19%E -3.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.85%E -1.28%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-04 21:09
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.49%E -2.04%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-04 21:30
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.49%E -2.04%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-04 21:09
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.49%E -2.04%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-04 21:00
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.49%E -2.04%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.49%E -2.04%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 00:00
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 21:10
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 23:48
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 21:09
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 21:09
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 21:09
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.62%E -2.74%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 21:09
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.62%E -2.74%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 21:10
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.62%E -2.74%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 23:30
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.19%E -3.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 21:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.19%E -3.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 23:30
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.19%E -3.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 23:29
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 21:20
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 21:39
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 21:20
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 21:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 21:39
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 23:50
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 17:20
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.19%E -3.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.59%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-04 22:39
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.49%E -2.04%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.03%E -2.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-04 21:14
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.03%E -2.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.03%E -2.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 00:00
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.03%E -2.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 23:59
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.03%E -2.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 00:00
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.03%E -2.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 00:00
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.03%E -2.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 00:00
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.03%E -2.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 00:00
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.03%E -2.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 00:00
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.62%E -2.74%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.03%E -2.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 21:09
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.19%E -3.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.47%E -2.52%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-05 00:00
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.19%E -3.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.47%E -2.52%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-05 00:00
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.19%E -3.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.47%E -2.52%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-05 00:00
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.19%E -3.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.47%E -2.52%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-05 00:00
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.62%E -2.74%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.90%E -2.73%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-05 00:00
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.62%E -2.74%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.90%E -2.73%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-05 00:00
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.49%E -2.04%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 00:00
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 21:09
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.19%E -3.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-04 21:09
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-04 21:39
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.75%E -3.44%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-04 23:59
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.32%E -3.81%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-04 21:09
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -7.45%E -4.54%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -7.21%E -3.38%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-04 23:39
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.52%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-04 23:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-06-05 00:00
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-06-05 00:00
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-04 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-06-04 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-06-04 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-06-04 23:50
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-04 20:50
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-04 22:10
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.9%2026-06-04 23:50
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%2.4%2026-06-04 23:40