Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v Texas Rangers

Início: 2026-06-12 23:11 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 10–1 Texas Rangers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 54.55%1.83odd justa
EV -1.82%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -2.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.95%54.60%54.49%55.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.681.741.741.8059.52%57.52%57.47%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Previsão 45.45%2.20odd justa
EV -0.001%
Vantagem -0.000%
Kelly -0.000%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.58%45.40%45.51%46.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.092.102.2050.00%47.80%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Boston Red Sox (Local): 54.55%; Texas Rangers (Visitante): 45.45%. Para Texas Rangers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.20001. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.20000, com valor esperado de -0.001%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.82%E -1.01%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.82%E -0.842%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-12 06:00
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.82%E -1.01%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.27%E -1.06%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 23:09
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -1.82%E -1.01%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-12 23:09
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.36%E -1.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.82%E -0.842%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-12 23:10
BetAnything🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.36%E -1.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.27%E -1.06%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-12 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.36%E -1.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-12 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.36%E -1.32%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.73%E -1.27%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-12 23:10
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.45%E -1.95%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-12 22:39
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.45%E -1.95%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 08:29
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.00%E -2.27%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.54%E -2.60%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.18%E -1.49%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 21:09
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.54%E -2.60%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 22:40
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.54%E -2.60%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.54%E -2.60%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.54%E -2.60%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 22:40
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.54%E -2.60%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 22:40
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.54%E -2.60%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.54%E -2.60%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.46%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 19:58
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.54%E -2.60%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.91%E -2.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 23:09
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.54%E -2.60%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.09%E -2.93%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.27%E -1.06%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 20:00
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.09%E -2.93%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.27%E -1.06%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 20:00
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.09%E -2.93%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.27%E -1.06%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 21:10
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.09%E -2.93%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 22:59
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.09%E -2.93%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.09%E -2.93%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.09%E -2.93%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.46%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 23:10
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.09%E -2.93%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.46%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.09%E -2.93%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.46%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 23:10
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.09%E -2.93%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.46%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 23:10
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.09%E -2.93%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.46%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.09%E -2.93%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.46%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.09%E -2.93%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.46%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.09%E -2.93%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 23:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.09%E -2.93%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 23:09
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.09%E -2.93%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 23:09
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.64%E -1.72%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 22:19
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.09%E -1.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 20:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 20:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 20:00
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:00
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 20:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 23:09
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-12 20:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.18%E -3.59%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 19:50
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.18%E -3.59%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -6.36%E -3.09%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-12 23:10
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.18%E -3.59%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -6.36%E -3.09%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-12 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.18%E -3.59%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-12 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.18%E -3.59%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-12 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.18%E -3.59%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-12 23:09
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.73%E -3.93%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.73%E -3.93%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.73%E -3.93%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.46%E -2.62%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-12 23:10
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.73%E -3.93%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.82%E -3.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-12 23:10
Betsson🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.73%E -3.93%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -7.27%E -3.57%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-12 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.73%E -3.93%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -7.27%E -3.57%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-12 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.73%E -3.93%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -7.27%E -3.57%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-12 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.27%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 15:59
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.27%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.27%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -8.18%E -4.05%K -8.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -8.36%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -6.36%E -3.09%K -6.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-12 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.36%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.09%E -4.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-12 23:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-06-12 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-12 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-06-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-06-12 23:10
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-06-12 23:10
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-06-12 23:10
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-12 21:00
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 54.89%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.11%1.2%2026-06-12 23:10
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-06-12 22:50
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-06-12 22:00