La escuela de los momios

Boston Red Sox v Tampa Bay Rays

Inicio: 2026-05-07 23:11 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 4–8 Tampa Bay Rays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Predicción 51.32%1.95momio equitativo
EV -0.959%
Ventaja -0.497%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.31%51.32%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.851.851.9355.56%53.95%54.05%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante)

Predicción 48.68%2.05momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.578%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%48.69%48.68%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.901.971.972.0352.63%50.84%50.76%49.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -0.959%E -0.497%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -2.63%E -1.32%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-07 22:50
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.98%E -1.04%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.15%E -1.07%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-07 22:45
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.98%E -1.04%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.63%E -1.32%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 22:15
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.98%E -1.04%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.63%E -1.32%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 22:54
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.98%E -1.04%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.63%E -1.32%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 12:10
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.31%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -3.95%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 12:09
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.52%E -1.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.17%E -0.578%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-07 22:24
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.52%E -1.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.17%E -0.578%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-07 22:24
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.52%E -1.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.17%E -0.578%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-07 22:24
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.52%E -1.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.55%E -2.86%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 22:50
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -1.66%E -0.822%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-07 22:59
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.63%E -1.32%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-07 20:35
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 22:59
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 12:09
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 22:14
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 12:10
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.02%E -3.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 23:04
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.02%E -3.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 23:09
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.55%E -2.45%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.12%E -1.57%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 20:34
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.55%E -2.45%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.61%E -1.82%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 12:25
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.55%E -2.45%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.55%E -2.86%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 23:09
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.63%E -1.32%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 21:10
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.63%E -1.32%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.63%E -1.32%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 22:59
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.63%E -1.32%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 22:59
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.09%E -2.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 21:10
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.58%E -2.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 21:10
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.58%E -2.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 21:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 14:25
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 14:25
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 22:35
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 22:39
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.02%E -3.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 12:25
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.02%E -3.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 12:25
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.02%E -3.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 12:24
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.50%E -3.95%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 23:03
SportsBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.58%E -3.03%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.09%E -2.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 12:24
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.58%E -3.03%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.53%E -3.40%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 23:09
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.63%E -1.32%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 20:34
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.63%E -1.32%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 12:15
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.61%E -1.82%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 23:09
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.61%E -1.82%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 22:29
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.61%E -1.82%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 22:24
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.09%E -2.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 22:59
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.09%E -2.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 22:59
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.09%E -2.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 23:00
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.09%E -2.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.09%E -2.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.09%E -2.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 22:59
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.09%E -2.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 22:59
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.09%E -2.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 22:59
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.09%E -2.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 23:00
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.09%E -2.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 22:59
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.58%E -2.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 22:49
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.58%E -2.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 22:44
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.04%E -3.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 23:04
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.02%E -3.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 20:50
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.60%E -3.63%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.58%E -2.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 22:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.63%E -1.32%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 21:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.95I 51.28%NM 51.25%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.75%0.1%2026-05-07 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-07 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-07 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-07 23:10
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-05-07 23:09
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-05-07 21:34
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-05-07 23:09
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-05-07 23:10
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-05-07 23:04
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%2.6%2026-05-07 23:10