Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v San Francisco Giants

Início: 2026-08-22 23:16 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 3–2 San Francisco Giants

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 65.41%1.53odd justa
EV -1.24%
Vantagem -0.819%
Kelly -2.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.41%65.36%65.49%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.471.471.5171.43%68.14%68.03%66.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Previsão 34.59%2.89odd justa
EV +0.321%
Vantagem +0.111%
Kelly +0.169%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.33%34.64%34.51%36.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.742.752.9038.46%36.52%36.36%34.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Boston Red Sox (Local): 65.41%; San Francisco Giants (Visitante): 34.59%. Para San Francisco Giants (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.89. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.90, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.321%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%EV -1.89%E -1.26%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%EV +0.321%E +0.111%K +0.169%G +0.001%1.1%2026-08-22 12:59
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%EV -3.20%E -2.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%EV +0.321%E +0.111%K +0.169%G +0.001%2.1%2026-08-22 13:23
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.98%EV -2.54%E -1.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 34.02%EV -0.025%E -0.009%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-22 11:19
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.54%E -1.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -1.06%E -0.372%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-22 19:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.81%E -4.04%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.41%E -0.494%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 13:39
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%EV -2.54%E -1.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%EV -1.75%E -0.618%K -0.953%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-22 23:05
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -1.24%E -0.819%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -2.79%E -0.994%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-22 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -3.20%E -2.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -2.79%E -0.994%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-22 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.89%E -1.26%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.14%E -1.12%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-22 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.89%E -1.26%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.14%E -1.12%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-22 19:00
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.89%E -1.26%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.14%E -1.12%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-22 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.89%E -1.26%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.14%E -1.12%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-22 18:59
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.20%E -2.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.14%E -1.12%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-22 20:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.85%E -2.62%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.14%E -1.12%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 23:15
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.81%E -4.04%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.14%E -1.12%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 19:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.12%E -5.02%K -16.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.14%E -1.12%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 14:35
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.43%E -6.02%K -21.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.14%E -1.12%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 20:50
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.16%E -3.56%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.83%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 19:00
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.16%E -3.56%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.83%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 18:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.20%E -2.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 14:39
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.51%E -3.09%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 22:49
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.54%E -1.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.87%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.54%E -1.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.87%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 23:10
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.20%E -2.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.87%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.20%E -2.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.87%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.20%E -2.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.87%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 23:10
Fanatics🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.85%E -2.62%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.87%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 14:39
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.51%E -3.09%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.87%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 13:45
888sport🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.16%E -3.56%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.87%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.16%E -3.56%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.87%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.16%E -3.56%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.87%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.16%E -3.56%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.87%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 13:42
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.81%E -4.04%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.87%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 23:14
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.81%E -4.04%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.87%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 13:39
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -1.89%E -1.26%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -5.21%E -1.90%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-22 22:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.51%E -3.09%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.91%E -2.17%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 19:00
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.89%E -1.26%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.60%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 14:40
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.20%E -2.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.60%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 19:00
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.20%E -2.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.60%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.20%E -2.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.60%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 19:00
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.85%E -2.62%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.60%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.85%E -2.62%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.60%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 23:10
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.85%E -2.62%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.60%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 23:10
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.85%E -2.62%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.60%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.85%E -2.62%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.60%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.85%E -2.62%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.60%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.51%E -3.09%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.60%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.16%E -3.56%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.60%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.16%E -3.56%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.60%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.16%E -3.56%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.60%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.16%E -3.56%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.60%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.81%E -4.04%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.60%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 23:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.81%E -4.04%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.60%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 22:45
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.20%E -2.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.33%E -3.14%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 20:30
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.20%E -2.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.33%E -3.14%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 19:00
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.20%E -2.16%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.33%E -3.14%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 19:00
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.81%E -4.04%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.33%E -3.14%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 23:15
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -7.12%E -5.02%K -16.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -9.02%E -3.43%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -5.16%E -3.56%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -9.36%E -3.57%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 23:03
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -5.16%E -3.56%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -9.36%E -3.57%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 23:03
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.89%E -1.26%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.06%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 19:00
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.89%E -1.26%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.06%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.81%E -4.04%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.06%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 22:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.92%2.94I 34.01%NM 34.08%-0.2%2026-08-22 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-08-22 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-08-22 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-08-22 23:10
Polymarket◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-22 23:10
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-22 19:00
Novig◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.1%2026-08-22 23:15
ProphetX◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.1%2026-08-22 23:15
Smarkets◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.8%2026-08-22 23:10
Matchbook◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.8%2026-08-22 23:15