Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v San Diego Padres

Início: 2026-04-04 20:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 56.92%1.76odd justa
EV -0.959%
Vantagem -0.551%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.09%56.61%56.85%57.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.681.681.7461.73%59.47%59.52%57.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Previsão 43.08%2.32odd justa
EV -0.916%
Vantagem -0.398%
Kelly -0.705%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.31%43.39%43.15%45.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.212.202.3048.78%45.18%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Boston Red Sox (Local): 56.92%; San Diego Padres (Visitante): 43.08%. Para San Diego Padres (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.32. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.30, com valor esperado de -0.916%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -0.959%E -0.551%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 20:10
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.10%E -1.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.78%E -0.780%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-04 19:49
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.10%E -1.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.78%E -0.780%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-04 19:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.10%E -1.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-04 19:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.10%E -1.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-04 19:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.10%E -1.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -11.69%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 20:09
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.67%E -1.56%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.916%E -0.398%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-04 19:44
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.67%E -1.56%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.64%E -1.17%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-04 17:54
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.67%E -1.56%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.38%E -3.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 20:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.24%E -1.90%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.93%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 19:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.24%E -1.90%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.93%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 19:49
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.24%E -1.90%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 20:03
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.81%E -2.25%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 18:34
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.81%E -2.25%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 14:15
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.81%E -2.25%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 06:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.81%E -2.25%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.93%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 18:19
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.81%E -2.25%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.36%E -1.97%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 06:45
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.81%E -2.25%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.36%E -1.97%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 12:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.81%E -2.25%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 16:49
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.81%E -2.25%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.37%E -2.60%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 18:15
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.37%E -2.60%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 07:50
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.37%E -2.60%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.50%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 18:36
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.37%E -2.60%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.93%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 20:09
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.37%E -2.60%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 08:15
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.37%E -2.60%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 18:40
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.37%E -2.60%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 16:54
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.37%E -2.60%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 19:35
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.37%E -2.60%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 19:34
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.37%E -2.60%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.37%E -2.60%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 19:34
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.37%E -2.60%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 19:34
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.37%E -2.60%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 19:35
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.94%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.94%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 23:39
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.94%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 23:40
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.94%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.93%E -1.76%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 18:10
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.94%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.36%E -1.97%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.94%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.79%E -2.17%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 19:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.94%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 18:15
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.94%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.94%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.94%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 16:54
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.94%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 20:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.94%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 19:39
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.94%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 19:49
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.94%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 19:48
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.94%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 19:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.94%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 19:49
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.51%E -3.32%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.36%E -1.97%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 19:49
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.51%E -3.32%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.36%E -1.97%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 19:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.51%E -3.32%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 06:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.08%E -3.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 23:39
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.08%E -3.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 23:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.08%E -3.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 19:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.08%E -3.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 06:09
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 17:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 57.00%2.36I 42.37%NM 43.00%-1.4%2026-04-04 20:09
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-04-04 19:59
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-04-04 20:07
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-04-04 20:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-04-04 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-04-04 20:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-04 16:39
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-04 18:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-04-04 20:09
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%2.7%2026-04-04 20:09