L’École des cotes

Boston Red Sox v New York Yankees

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-25 23:11 UTC

Score final : Boston Red Sox 6–3 New York Yankees

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prévision 42.93%2.33cote équitable
EV +0.889%
Avantage +0.378%
Kelly +0.658%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.33%42.92%42.93%44.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.142.252.252.3546.73%44.44%44.44%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Yankees (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.07%1.75cote équitable
EV -0.701%
Avantage -0.403%
Kelly -0.947%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.84%57.08%57.07%58.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.661.661.7462.50%60.11%60.24%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV +0.889%E +0.378%K +0.658%G +0.006%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -5.27%E -3.17%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-25 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.399%E -0.172%K -0.302%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.41%E -3.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 23:10
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -0.399%E -0.172%K -0.302%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -6.41%E -3.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 23:10
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.26%E -0.547%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.41%E -1.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-25 23:09
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.26%E -0.547%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.41%E -1.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-25 22:59
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.26%E -0.547%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.98%E -4.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.26%E -0.547%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.98%E -4.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 23:10
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.26%E -0.547%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.98%E -4.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 23:10
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.26%E -0.547%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.98%E -4.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 23:10
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.26%E -0.547%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.98%E -4.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 23:10
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.26%E -0.547%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.98%E -4.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 23:10
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.26%E -0.547%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.98%E -4.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 23:10
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.26%E -0.547%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.98%E -4.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 23:10
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.26%E -0.547%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.98%E -4.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 23:10
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.26%E -0.547%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.98%E -4.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 23:10
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.26%E -0.547%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.98%E -4.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 23:10
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.26%E -0.547%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 21:50
LowVig.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.55%E -1.12%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.41%E -1.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-25 23:10
BetOnline.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.55%E -1.12%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.41%E -1.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-25 23:10
BetUS2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.55%E -1.12%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.41%E -1.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-25 23:09
Unibet (UK)2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.55%E -1.12%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 23:10
BetAnything2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.97%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.41%E -1.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-25 23:10
FanDuel2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.97%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.12%E -2.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-25 16:00
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -0.701%E -0.403%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-25 22:50
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.55%E -2.10%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-25 17:49
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.55%E -2.10%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-25 16:39
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.12%E -2.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-25 19:30
MyBookie.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.12%E -2.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-25 23:10
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 20:18
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 19:29
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 18:50
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 20:50
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 18:50
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 19:30
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 19:30
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 23:10
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 23:10
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.40%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-25 23:10
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.83%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -0.701%E -0.403%K -0.947%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-25 22:57
Bet Right2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.83%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.27%E -3.17%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-25 18:50
SportsBet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.83%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 16:00
DraftKings2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.26%E -1.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.12%E -2.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-25 17:49
Coolbet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.26%E -1.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.27%E -3.17%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 18:50
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.69%E -2.11%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.55%E -2.10%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-25 20:40
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.69%E -2.11%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.27%E -3.17%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 19:30
Bovada2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -5.12%E -2.32%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -3.55%E -2.10%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-25 22:59
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.41%E -1.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 22:40
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.55%E -2.10%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-25 22:59
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 16:00
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 13:49
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 23:10
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.27%E -3.17%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-25 22:59
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 15:40
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.41%E -3.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-25 23:10
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.41%E -3.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-25 23:10
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.55%E -2.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-25 20:50
Betsson2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.98%E -2.73%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.12%E -2.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 23:10
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.84%E -3.15%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.55%E -2.10%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 22:50
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.70%E -3.58%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.98%E -1.75%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 22:00
Betclic (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -8.13%E -3.80%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -6.98%E -4.28%K -11.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-25 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-06-25 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-06-25 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-06-25 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-06-25 23:00
ProphetX2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%0.9%2026-06-25 23:10
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-06-25 22:40
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-06-25 23:00
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-06-25 23:10
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-06-25 23:10
BetOpenly2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%3.7%2026-06-25 23:09