Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v New York Yankees

Início: 2026-06-26 23:11 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 6–1 New York Yankees

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 52.36%1.91odd justa
EV +0.005%
Vantagem +0.003%
Kelly +0.006%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.53%52.44%52.29%53.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.761.821.821.9156.82%54.88%54.95%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Previsão 47.64%2.10odd justa
EV +0.999%
Vantagem +0.471%
Kelly +0.892%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.19%47.56%47.71%49.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.012.002.1252.36%49.74%50.00%47.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Boston Red Sox (Local): 52.36%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 47.64%. Para New York Yankees (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.10. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.12, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.999%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV +0.999%E +0.471%K +0.892%G +0.009%2.1%2026-06-26 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV +0.523%E +0.248%K +0.471%G +0.002%2.3%2026-06-26 23:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV +0.523%E +0.248%K +0.471%G +0.002%2.3%2026-06-26 23:09
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.18%E -2.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.047%E +0.022%K +0.042%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-26 23:09
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.61%E -1.40%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.86%E -0.902%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-26 23:09
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.57%E -0.833%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.34%E -1.14%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-26 22:30
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.09%E -1.12%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.34%E -1.14%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-26 22:50
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.18%E -2.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.34%E -1.14%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-26 23:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.18%E -2.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.34%E -1.14%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-26 22:49
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.75%E -3.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.34%E -1.14%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 22:36
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.75%E -3.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.34%E -1.14%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 23:09
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.75%E -3.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.34%E -1.14%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 23:10
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.75%E -3.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.34%E -1.14%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 23:09
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.75%E -3.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.34%E -1.14%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 23:09
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.34%E -1.14%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.34%E -1.14%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -4.18%E -2.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -2.81%E -1.38%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-26 23:08
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.75%E -3.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.81%E -1.38%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-26 23:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.18%E -2.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.76%E -1.86%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-26 22:58
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.76%E -1.86%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-26 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.76%E -1.86%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-26 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.76%E -1.86%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-26 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.76%E -1.86%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-26 22:49
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.76%E -1.86%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-26 22:49
LeoVegas🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.76%E -1.86%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-26 22:50
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.76%E -1.86%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-26 22:49
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.76%E -1.86%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-26 22:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.76%E -1.86%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-26 22:49
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.76%E -1.86%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-26 23:09
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV +0.005%E +0.003%K +0.006%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -4.24%E -2.11%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-26 22:29
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.14%E -1.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-26 22:40
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.14%E -1.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-26 22:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.14%E -1.70%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-26 22:39
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.18%E -2.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-26 22:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.18%E -2.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-26 22:30
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.18%E -2.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-26 23:09
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 23:10
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.23%E -2.89%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 22:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.23%E -2.89%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.23%E -2.89%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 22:50
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.23%E -2.89%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 22:49
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.75%E -3.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 22:49
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.75%E -3.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.75%E -3.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 22:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.75%E -3.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 22:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.75%E -3.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 23:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.19%E -2.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.19%E -2.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 23:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -6.28%E -3.51%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.19%E -2.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 23:08
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.18%E -2.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.67%E -2.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 22:39
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.18%E -2.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.67%E -2.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 22:40
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.18%E -2.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.67%E -2.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 22:39
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.62%E -3.38%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 22:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.09%E -1.12%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 22:29
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.18%E -2.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.18%E -2.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 23:09
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.75%E -3.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-26 22:58
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -7.85%E -4.46%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.10%E -3.64%K -7.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -4.71%E -2.59%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.58%E -3.91%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-26 23:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.57%E -0.833%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.53%E -4.44%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 22:29
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.09%E -1.12%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -9.01%E -4.71%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 22:40
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.18%E -2.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.01%E -4.71%K -9.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 22:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-06-26 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-06-26 23:10
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-06-26 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-06-26 23:10
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-26 22:39
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-26 22:59
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-26 22:50
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.36%1.0%2026-06-26 23:09
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-06-26 23:09
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%2.0%2026-06-26 23:10