La escuela de los momios

Boston Red Sox v Minnesota Twins

Inicio: 2026-05-22 23:11 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 6–8 Minnesota Twins

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Predicción 57.69%1.73momio equitativo
EV -0.204%
Ventaja -0.118%
Kelly -0.280%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.26%57.42%57.69%58.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.661.661.7362.50%60.16%60.24%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Predicción 42.31%2.36momio equitativo
EV +0.285%
Ventaja +0.120%
Kelly +0.208%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.03%42.58%42.31%44.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.252.252.3747.62%44.38%44.44%42.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV +0.285%E +0.120%K +0.208%G +0.001%2.1%2026-05-22 21:39
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.561%E -0.239%K -0.415%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-22 21:39
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.561%E -0.239%K -0.415%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-22 21:39
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.51%E -1.49%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.41%E -0.604%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-22 16:10
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.09%E -1.84%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.83%E -0.789%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-22 23:09
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.09%E -1.84%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.83%E -0.789%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-22 19:10
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.93%E -1.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.25%E -0.976%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-22 16:20
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.36%E -0.794%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.68%E -1.16%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-22 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.68%E -1.16%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-21 20:00
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.68%E -1.16%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-21 22:20
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.68%E -1.16%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 05:18
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.68%E -1.16%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 23:09
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.55%E -4.04%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.68%E -1.16%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 19:50
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.70%E -4.81%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.68%E -1.16%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 10:50
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.24%E -2.56%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.10%E -1.35%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 15:19
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.10%E -1.35%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 15:00
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.09%E -1.84%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.52%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-22 22:19
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.52%E -1.55%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 00:00
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.95%E -1.74%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 00:10
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.97%E -3.66%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -3.95%E -1.74%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 23:09
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.97%E -3.66%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -3.95%E -1.74%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 23:09
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.09%E -1.84%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.37%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-22 19:50
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 23:09
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 23:09
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 22:19
Dabble (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.24%E -2.56%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 23:09
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 21:49
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 16:20
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 19:50
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 19:50
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 19:50
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 06:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 06:00
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 19:50
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 19:50
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 19:59
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 19:50
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.97%E -3.66%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.79%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 22:59
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.09%E -1.84%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.22%E -2.33%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-22 23:09
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.22%E -2.33%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 16:19
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.64%E -2.53%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 22:19
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.64%E -2.53%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 22:19
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.64%E -2.53%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 22:19
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.64%E -2.53%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.64%E -2.53%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 22:19
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.64%E -2.53%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 23:09
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.64%E -2.53%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 22:19
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.67%E -2.19%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.64%E -2.53%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 23:08
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.24%E -2.56%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.64%E -2.53%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 19:50
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.24%E -2.56%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.64%E -2.53%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 23:09
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.24%E -2.56%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.64%E -2.53%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 22:19
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.24%E -2.56%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.64%E -2.53%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 22:19
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.24%E -2.56%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.64%E -2.53%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 22:19
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.55%E -4.04%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.91%E -3.14%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 20:49
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -0.204%E -0.118%K -0.280%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -7.75%E -3.56%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-22 23:09
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.51%E -1.49%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.02%E -4.20%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 23:08
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.93%E -1.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -11.14%E -5.30%K -10.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 23:00
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.93%E -1.14%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -11.14%E -5.30%K -10.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.09%E -1.84%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -11.14%E -5.30%K -10.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 23:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-05-22 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-22 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-05-22 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-05-22 22:49
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-05-22 23:09
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-22 19:20
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-22 20:49
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-05-22 23:09
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-05-22 23:09
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-05-22 22:29