L’École des cotes

Boston Red Sox v Minnesota Twins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 17:36 UTC

Score final : Boston Red Sox 5–6 Minnesota Twins

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prévision 60.88%1.64cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -0.845%
Kelly -2.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.74%60.85%60.91%61.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.571.571.6265.36%63.78%63.69%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Minnesota Twins (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.12%2.56cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.409%
Kelly -0.676%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.42%39.15%39.09%40.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.442.452.5343.48%40.93%40.82%39.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -1.37%E -0.845%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -2.99%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-24 16:40
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -1.98%E -1.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -3.77%E -1.53%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 16:59
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.59%E -1.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.03%E -0.409%K -0.676%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-24 16:10
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.59%E -1.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -1.43%E -0.566%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-24 17:10
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -2.59%E -1.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -1.82%E -0.724%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-24 17:00
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.59%E -1.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-24 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.59%E -1.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-24 17:00
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.59%E -1.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 17:00
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%EV -3.20%E -2.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%EV -1.43%E -0.566%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-24 17:10
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.20%E -2.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 16:10
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.20%E -2.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.95%E -2.04%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 16:59
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -3.80%E -2.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.77%E -1.53%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 16:59
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.80%E -2.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 17:00
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.80%E -2.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 17:00
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 16:20
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.77%E -1.53%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 16:10
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 17:00
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 16:59
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 17:00
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 17:30
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 17:30
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 17:29
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 16:19
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 16:20
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.56%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 17:00
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.56%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 17:29
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 17:00
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 16:30
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 16:40
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 17:00
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.41%E -2.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 16:40
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.21%E -0.883%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 16:10
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 17:30
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 16:20
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 16:20
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 16:20
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 16:20
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 16:30
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 16:20
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 16:20
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 17:29
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.95%E -2.04%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:20
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.95%E -2.04%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:20
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.95%E -2.04%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:20
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.95%E -2.04%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:20
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.34%E -2.21%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 16:40
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.34%E -2.21%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 16:40
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.02%E -3.22%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 17:00
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.77%E -1.53%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 16:10
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 17:29
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 17:00
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.63%E -3.63%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.03%E -4.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 17:29
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.24%E -4.05%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.12%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 17:00
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 17:30
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 17:29
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 17:29
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 17:10
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.90%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 16:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-05-24 17:30
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-24 17:30
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-24 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-24 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-24 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-24 17:10
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-24 16:40
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-24 16:30
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-05-24 17:30
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%3.8%2026-05-24 16:20