Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v Milwaukee Brewers

Início: 2026-04-07 22:46 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 59.03%1.69odd justa
EV -1.41%
Vantagem -0.847%
Kelly -2.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%58.90%59.13%60.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.621.621.6764.52%61.70%61.73%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Previsão 40.97%2.44odd justa
EV -1.68%
Vantagem -0.700%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.24%41.10%40.87%43.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.332.352.4045.45%42.86%42.55%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Boston Red Sox (Local): 59.03%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante): 40.97%. Para Boston Red Sox (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.69. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.67, com valor esperado de -1.41%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.41%E -0.847%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.91%E -1.23%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-07 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -1.41%E -0.847%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -7.01%E -3.09%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 22:45
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.41%E -0.847%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:45
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -2.01%E -1.21%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -1.68%E -0.700%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-07 22:45
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.01%E -1.21%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -3.32%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-07 22:44
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.60%E -1.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.68%E -0.700%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-07 21:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.60%E -1.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.09%E -0.874%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-07 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -2.60%E -1.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -2.09%E -0.874%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-07 21:50
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.60%E -1.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-07 19:44
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.60%E -1.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 22:35
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.60%E -1.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.60%E -1.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 22:33
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.19%E -1.94%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 22:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.78%E -2.32%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.68%E -0.700%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-07 22:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.78%E -2.32%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 13:14
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.78%E -2.32%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 19:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.32%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 21:55
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 19:45
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 19:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 19:40
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 21:55
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 21:50
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 13:30
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 02:10
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 19:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 19:54
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.37%E -2.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 22:44
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.50%E -1.05%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 22:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.50%E -1.05%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 22:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.50%E -1.05%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 22:05
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.91%E -1.23%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.91%E -1.23%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 21:50
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 19:40
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 22:34
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 22:00
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 22:00
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 22:00
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 22:00
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 22:00
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.14%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 22:44
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.55%E -1.95%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 22:44
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.55%E -1.95%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 19:45
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.55%E -1.95%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 19:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.37%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.55%E -3.47%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 22:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.55%E -3.47%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 22:05
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.55%E -3.47%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 22:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.55%E -3.47%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 22:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.55%E -3.47%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 22:35
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -6.14%E -3.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -2.91%E -1.23%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 22:25
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.32%E -4.66%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 20:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.50%E -5.48%K -15.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.68%E -0.700%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 21:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-04-07 22:44
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-07 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-04-07 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-04-07 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-04-07 22:40
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-07 22:45
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-04-07 22:45
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-04-07 22:40
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 58.87%2.39I 41.84%NM 41.13%1.7%2026-04-07 22:45
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-04-07 22:00