Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v Los Angeles Angels

Início: 2026-09-08 22:46 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 1–6 Los Angeles Angels

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 56.91%1.76odd justa
EV -1.55%
Vantagem -0.895%
Kelly -2.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.84%56.92%56.85%57.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.681.681.7361.73%59.52%59.52%57.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Previsão 43.09%2.32odd justa
EV -0.459%
Vantagem -0.199%
Kelly -0.351%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.31%43.08%43.15%44.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.122.212.202.3147.17%45.15%45.45%43.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Boston Red Sox (Local): 56.91%; Los Angeles Angels (Visitante): 43.09%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.32. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.31, com valor esperado de -0.459%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -1.55%E -0.895%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -2.18%E -0.962%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-08 15:02
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.55%E -0.895%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-08 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -1.55%E -0.895%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-08 06:55
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.12%E -1.23%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.75%E -0.768%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-08 22:05
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%EV -2.69%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%EV -0.459%E -0.199%K -0.351%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-08 15:10
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.69%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-08 22:19
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.69%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-08 22:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.69%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-08 22:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.69%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 09:25
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -0.890%E -0.387%K -0.685%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-08 22:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.32%E -0.577%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-08 22:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.32%E -0.577%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-08 22:44
theScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-08 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.91%E -1.75%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 22:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.91%E -1.75%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 22:44
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 11:38
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.26%E -1.91%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 19:29
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.82%E -2.26%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 16:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.82%E -2.26%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.91%E -1.75%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-08 14:53
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.82%E -2.26%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.34%E -1.95%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 06:55
betfred_uk🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.82%E -2.26%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 06:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.39%E -2.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-08 20:50
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.39%E -2.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.48%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 21:54
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.39%E -2.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 10:50
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.39%E -2.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 23:10
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.39%E -2.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.39%E -2.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 22:15
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.39%E -2.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.39%E -2.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 22:44
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.39%E -2.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 22:44
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.39%E -2.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 22:44
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.39%E -2.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 22:44
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.39%E -2.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 22:44
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.39%E -2.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 22:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.39%E -2.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 22:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.39%E -2.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.63%E -2.57%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.39%E -2.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.06%E -2.78%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 11:50
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.39%E -2.62%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.06%E -2.78%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 11:49
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 22:15
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 22:15
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 22:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 10:05
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.91%E -1.75%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 14:50
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.34%E -1.95%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 07:40
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 23:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 19:10
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 22:24
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 22:44
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 20:50
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 14:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 22:43
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 14:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -6.49%E -2.99%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 22:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -6.49%E -2.99%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 22:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.53%E -3.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 13:19
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.10%E -3.70%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 16:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.10%E -3.70%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 20:55
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.10%E -3.70%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 22:45
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.10%E -3.70%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 22:43
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -7.24%E -4.44%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -7.78%E -3.64%K -6.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 22:15
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.20%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 20:20
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -7.81%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -8.65%E -4.08%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 22:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.76I 56.82%NM 57.07%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.93%-0.4%2026-09-08 22:44
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-09-08 22:44
ProphetX◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-09-08 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-09-08 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-09-08 22:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-09-08 22:44
Novig◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%0.7%2026-09-08 22:45
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-09-08 16:25
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-09-07 19:25
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-09-08 22:45