A Escola das Odds

Boston Red Sox v Detroit Tigers

Início: 2026-04-19 17:36 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 56.29%1.78odd justa
EV -0.367%
Vantagem -0.207%
Kelly -0.477%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.12%56.24%56.27%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.641.701.711.7760.98%58.75%58.48%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Previsão 43.71%2.29odd justa
EV -1.65%
Vantagem -0.734%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%43.76%43.73%44.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.172.172.2547.62%46.08%46.08%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -0.367%E -0.207%K -0.477%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 00:40
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -0.367%E -0.207%K -0.477%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 00:39
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -0.367%E -0.207%K -0.477%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 00:38
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.49%E -0.853%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 01:05
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.09%E -0.933%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-18 23:35
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.06%E -1.18%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 00:40
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.18%E -1.85%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -5.15%E -2.37%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.18%E -1.85%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -5.15%E -2.37%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 00:10
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.18%E -1.85%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -5.15%E -2.37%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 00:10
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.18%E -1.85%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 00:10
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.18%E -1.85%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 00:10
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.18%E -1.85%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.18%E -1.85%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 00:10
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.18%E -1.85%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 00:10
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.18%E -1.85%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 00:10
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.18%E -1.85%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 00:10
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.18%E -1.85%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 00:10
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.18%E -1.85%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.33%E -3.46%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 01:05
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 18:20
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 21:00
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.15%E -2.37%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 00:27
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.46%E -3.02%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 00:10
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.46%E -3.02%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 00:10
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.46%E -3.02%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 00:10
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.46%E -3.02%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 00:10
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.74%E -2.19%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.21%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 23:05
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 23:04
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.27%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 21:00
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.71%E -2.16%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 00:30
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 00:30
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.31%E -2.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 00:10
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.65%E -0.734%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 20:55
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 23:04
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 00:04
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.15%E -2.37%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 23:30
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.09%E -0.933%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 18:10
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 23:05
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 23:34
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.43%E -3.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 21:00
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 18:15
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 18:20
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 18:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 18:55
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 21:00
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 21:20
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.00%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.02%E -2.80%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 23:39
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.12%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 18:10
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.12%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.12%E -4.32%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.21%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 23:35
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.68%E -4.69%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.21%E -3.91%K -7.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 21:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%0.7%2026-04-19 00:30
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-18 20:55
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-18 19:30
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%5.2%2026-04-19 00:05
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.02%10.3%2026-04-18 21:00