La escuela de los momios

Boston Red Sox v Detroit Tigers

Inicio: 2026-04-20 15:11 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 8–6 Detroit Tigers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Predicción 55.15%1.81momio equitativo
EV -0.737%
Ventaja -0.410%
Kelly -0.922%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.66%55.20%55.21%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.731.721.8060.61%57.93%58.14%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Predicción 44.85%2.23momio equitativo
EV -0.872%
Ventaja -0.395%
Kelly -0.721%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.80%44.79%46.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.142.152.2148.78%46.74%46.51%45.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -0.737%E -0.410%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -3.12%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-20 13:15
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.67%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-20 15:05
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.84%E -1.03%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.67%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-20 15:05
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.39%E -1.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.32%E -0.600%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-20 15:09
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.39%E -1.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 15:10
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.94%E -1.67%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.872%E -0.395%K -0.721%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-20 15:05
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.94%E -1.67%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.32%E -0.600%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-20 15:04
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.49%E -2.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-20 14:00
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.49%E -2.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.91%E -2.32%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.49%E -2.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 12:25
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.49%E -2.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 12:25
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.49%E -2.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 12:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.49%E -2.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 12:25
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.12%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-20 10:50
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 15:09
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 15:09
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 21:10
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 15:08
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 04:00
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.46%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 15:09
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 12:25
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 15:09
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 15:10
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -4.60%E -2.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -1.32%E -0.600%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-20 14:45
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.60%E -2.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.36%E -2.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 14:55
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.60%E -2.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 19:05
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.60%E -2.66%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 15:09
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.15%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.67%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 14:45
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.15%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.67%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 14:44
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.15%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -3.12%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 15:03
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.15%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.91%E -2.32%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 15:00
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.15%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.91%E -2.32%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 15:00
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.15%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.91%E -2.32%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 15:00
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.15%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 15:09
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.15%E -2.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 15:10
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.12%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 14:45
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.12%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 14:45
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.12%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 14:45
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.12%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 14:45
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.12%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.12%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 14:45
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.12%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 14:45
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.12%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 14:44
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 15:09
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 05:49
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 05:50
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 05:49
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 06:24
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 10:50
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 15:09
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.32%E -0.600%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 14:24
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.12%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 15:10
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 14:24
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 14:45
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 14:45
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 14:45
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 14:45
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.25%E -3.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 15:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.91%E -4.73%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 12:45
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.01%E -5.46%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.32%E -0.600%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 15:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-04-20 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-04-20 15:10
BetOpenly1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-04-20 15:05
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-19 22:25
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-20 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-20 15:10
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-04-20 15:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-04-20 15:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.9%2026-04-20 15:10
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-04-20 15:10