Boston Red Sox v Baltimore Orioles

Inicio: 2026-06-04 17:36 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 2–8 Baltimore Orioles

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

53%

47%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Predicción 52.50%1.90momio equitativo

EV -1.30%

Ventaja -0.689%

Kelly -1.47%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

51.07%52.56%52.55%53.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.751.821.831.8857.14%54.86%54.64%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Predicción 47.50%2.11momio equitativo

EV -0.255%

Ventaja -0.121%

Kelly -0.232%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

46.05%47.44%47.45%48.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.86%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
1xBet	1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.30%E -0.689%K -1.47%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-06-04 16:39
Svenska Spel	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.30%E -0.689%K -1.47%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-06-04 17:30
Pinnacle	1.87I 53.48%NM 52.54%EV -1.82%E -0.974%K -2.09%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 47.46%EV -1.68%E -0.811%K -1.57%G +0.000%	1.8%	2026-06-04 16:50
FanDuel	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -2.35%E -1.26%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.95%E -3.01%K -6.08%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-04 15:50
Unibet (SE)	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.43%E -3.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-04 17:29
Unibet (NL)	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.43%E -3.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-04 17:29
Casumo	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.90%E -3.52%K -7.19%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-04 17:30
Grosvenor	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.90%E -3.52%K -7.19%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-04 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.90%E -3.52%K -7.19%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-04 17:30
LeoVegas	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.90%E -3.52%K -7.19%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-04 17:29
Unibet	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.90%E -3.52%K -7.19%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-04 17:29
betPARX	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.90%E -3.52%K -7.19%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-04 17:30
Bally Bet	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.90%E -3.52%K -7.19%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-04 17:29
ATG (SE)	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.90%E -3.52%K -7.19%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-04 17:30
BetAnything	1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -3.40%E -1.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -0.730%E -0.349%K -0.669%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-06-04 17:29
SportsBet	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -3.40%E -1.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.43%E -3.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-04 15:50
Virgin Bet	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.40%E -1.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.90%E -3.52%K -7.19%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-04 17:29
LiveScore Bet	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.40%E -1.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.90%E -3.52%K -7.19%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-04 17:29
GTbets	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.255%E -0.121%K -0.232%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-06-04 17:29
Everygame	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.255%E -0.121%K -0.232%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-06-04 17:29
LowVig.ag	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.730%E -0.349%K -0.669%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-06-04 17:30
BetOnline.ag	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.730%E -0.349%K -0.669%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-06-04 17:29
BetUS	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.730%E -0.349%K -0.669%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-06-04 17:30
ReBet	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-06-04 17:30
Unibet (UK)	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -3.10%E -1.52%K -2.99%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-06-04 17:29
MyBookie.ag	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -3.58%E -1.76%K -3.48%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-06-04 17:29
PointsBet (AU)	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-04 16:39
Fanatics	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-04 15:50
Bet Right	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-04 17:29
Betway	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-04 15:29
Hard Rock Bet	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-04 15:40
theScore Bet	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-04 14:59
Fliff	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.38%E -3.78%K -7.77%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-04 17:00
BetRivers	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.38%E -3.78%K -7.77%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-04 17:29
TABtouch	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.38%E -3.78%K -7.77%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-04 17:29
Paddy Power	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.28%E -4.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-04 15:09
Bovada	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.45%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.05%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-04 17:29
PlayUp	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.45%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-04 17:29
Coolbet	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.45%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-04 15:49
Dabble (AU)	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.45%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-04 15:49
Betr (AU)	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.45%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.48%E -2.75%K -5.53%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-04 17:29
Marathon Bet	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.97%E -2.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-04 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-04 17:29
Coral	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-04 17:29
BetMGM	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-04 17:30
TAB	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-04 17:30
DraftKings	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.10%E -1.52%K -2.99%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-04 17:29
888sport	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-04 14:49
888sport (SE)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-04 14:49
Mr Green (SE)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-04 14:49
William Hill	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-04 11:29
Winamax (DE)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-04 17:29
BoyleSports	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.00%E -2.50%K -5.00%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-04 15:50
Bet Victor	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.38%E -3.78%K -7.77%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-04 17:30
Betsson	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.05%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-04 17:28
NordicBet	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.05%E -2.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-04 17:30
Unibet (FR)	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.48%E -2.75%K -5.53%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-04 17:29
Neds	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-04 17:29
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-04 17:29
Winamax (FR)	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.95%E -3.01%K -6.08%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-04 17:29
Betclic (FR)	1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -7.60%E -4.32%K -9.99%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.38%E -3.78%K -7.77%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-06-04 17:29
Tipico (DE)	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.63%E -1.28%K -2.50%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-04 15:50

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%	2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%	0.3%	2026-06-04 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%	2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%	0.3%	2026-06-04 17:30
Novig	1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%	0.7%	2026-06-04 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%	0.7%	2026-06-04 17:30
ProphetX	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.51%	2.09I 47.85%NM 47.49%	0.8%	2026-06-04 17:30
Kalshi	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%	1.0%	2026-06-04 16:00
Polymarket	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%	1.0%	2026-06-04 15:40
Matchbook	1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%	1.3%	2026-06-04 17:30
BetOpenly	1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%	1.9%	2026-06-04 17:29
Smarkets	1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%	2.0%	2026-06-04 17:10