Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Boston Red Sox v Arizona Diamondbacks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-17 23:11 UTC

Score final : Boston Red Sox 11–1 Arizona Diamondbacks

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prévision 55.64%1.80cote équitable
EV -0.964%
Avantage -0.542%
Kelly -1.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.91%55.45%55.70%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.631.721.721.7861.35%58.07%58.14%56.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.36%2.25cote équitable
EV -0.186%
Avantage -0.083%
Kelly -0.149%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.86%44.55%44.30%47.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.152.2550.00%46.44%46.51%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Boston Red Sox (Local) : 55.64% ; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur) : 44.36%. Pour Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.254. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.250, pour une espérance de -0.186% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -0.964%E -0.542%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -11.28%E -5.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.52%E -0.859%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-17 15:05
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.52%E -0.859%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-17 23:04
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.52%E -0.859%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-17 20:32
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.52%E -0.859%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.29%E -1.51%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 23:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.52%E -0.859%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.29%E -1.51%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 23:04
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.52%E -0.859%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -9.06%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 21:44
Caesars🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.08%E -1.18%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.52%E -0.683%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-17 23:10
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.08%E -1.18%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.52%E -0.683%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-17 23:05
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.08%E -1.18%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.96%E -0.887%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-17 18:14
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -2.08%E -1.18%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -3.73%E -1.72%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-17 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -2.08%E -1.18%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -11.28%E -5.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 23:09
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%EV -2.63%E -1.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%EV -0.186%E -0.083%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-17 23:04
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.63%E -1.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-17 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.63%E -1.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 15:05
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.63%E -1.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.28%E -5.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 22:59
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.63%E -1.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.28%E -5.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.19%E -1.83%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.186%E -0.083%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-17 18:35
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.19%E -1.83%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.52%E -0.683%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-17 23:04
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -3.19%E -1.83%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -1.96%E -0.887%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-17 15:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.19%E -1.83%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 15:39
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.19%E -1.83%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 17:14
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.19%E -1.83%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.06%E -4.42%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.75%E -2.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.29%E -1.51%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-17 23:04
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.75%E -2.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.75%E -2.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.75%E -2.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:04
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.75%E -2.17%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:05
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.07%E -0.481%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-17 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.07%E -0.481%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-17 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.18%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-17 23:09
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.95%E -2.81%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 23:09
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.95%E -2.81%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 23:09
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.95%E -2.81%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 23:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.84%E -3.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 22:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-17 23:04
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:09
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:09
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:09
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:04
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 16:24
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.07%E -2.37%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 15:04
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 23:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 23:09
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.29%E -1.51%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 23:04
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.29%E -1.51%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 23:04
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.29%E -1.51%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 23:04
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.29%E -1.51%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 23:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 23:09
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 23:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.95%E -2.81%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:09
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.29%E -1.51%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%EV -4.18%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 23:09
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.62%E -2.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 20:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.59%EV -7.08%E -4.24%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.41%EV -7.28%E -3.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.20%E -4.97%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 10:04
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -9.31%E -5.71%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -5.95%E -2.81%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-17 23:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX◎1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95%0.2%2026-08-17 23:09
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-17 23:10
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-08-17 23:09
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-17 20:59
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-17 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-08-17 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-08-17 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-08-17 23:10
BetOpenly◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-08-17 23:04
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-08-17 23:09