L’École des cotes

Baltimore Orioles v Seattle Mariners

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-09 22:36 UTC

Score final : Baltimore Orioles 5–6 Seattle Mariners

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prévision 47.54%2.10cote équitable
EV -0.633%
Avantage -0.303%
Kelly -0.581%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.91%47.50%47.53%49.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.022.022.0952.63%49.62%49.50%47.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Mariners (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.46%1.91cote équitable
EV -0.858%
Avantage -0.454%
Kelly -0.964%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.67%52.50%52.47%54.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.741.821.811.8957.47%55.02%55.10%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -0.633%E -0.303%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-09 21:49
BetAnything2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -2.06%E -1.000%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.43%E -1.31%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-09 21:49
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.06%E -1.000%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-09 21:09
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -2.06%E -1.000%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -5.05%E -2.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-09 21:48
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.53%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.38%E -0.735%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-09 22:20
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.53%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-09 22:29
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.53%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-09 22:29
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.53%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 15:30
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.53%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 15:30
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.53%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 20:29
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.53%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 15:39
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.53%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.20%E -4.69%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 15:19
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.53%E -1.24%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.73%E -5.02%K -11.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 22:29
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -3.01%E -1.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -0.858%E -0.454%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-09 22:19
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.01%E -1.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-09 22:29
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.01%E -1.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-09 22:29
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.01%E -1.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.53%E -2.49%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 20:29
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.01%E -1.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.53%E -2.49%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 21:09
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.01%E -1.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.53%E -2.49%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 21:09
Bet Right2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.01%E -1.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.10%E -3.41%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 22:29
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.96%E -1.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 22:29
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.96%E -1.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.53%E -2.49%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-09 22:20
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.96%E -1.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.05%E -2.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 21:09
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.96%E -1.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.05%E -2.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 21:09
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.96%E -1.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.05%E -2.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 21:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.96%E -1.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.05%E -2.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 21:09
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.96%E -1.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.05%E -2.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 21:10
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.96%E -1.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.05%E -2.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 21:10
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.96%E -1.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.05%E -2.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 21:09
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.96%E -1.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 20:39
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.96%E -1.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 21:10
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.96%E -1.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 21:09
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.96%E -1.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 21:10
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.96%E -1.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 21:10
DraftKings2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -4.44%E -2.21%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -4.53%E -2.49%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 22:29
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.91%E -2.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.96%E -1.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 22:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.91%E -2.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.96%E -1.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 15:19
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.91%E -2.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 16:39
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.91%E -2.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 22:29
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.91%E -2.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 22:28
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.91%E -2.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 22:29
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.91%E -2.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.91%E -2.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 22:29
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.91%E -2.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.53%E -2.49%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 22:29
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.91%E -2.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.53%E -2.49%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 22:28
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.91%E -2.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.53%E -2.49%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 22:29
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.91%E -2.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.53%E -2.49%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 22:29
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.91%E -2.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 15:30
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.91%E -2.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 16:29
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.91%E -2.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 15:29
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.91%E -2.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 15:30
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.91%E -2.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 21:39
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.91%E -2.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 16:59
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.91%E -2.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-09 15:29
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.91%E -2.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.63%E -3.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-09 21:09
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.86%E -2.96%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 22:28
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.86%E -2.96%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 22:29
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.86%E -2.96%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 22:29
Dabble (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.86%E -2.96%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.53%E -2.49%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-09 22:19
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.86%E -2.96%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-09 22:29
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.86%E -2.96%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-09 22:29
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-09 20:09
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.29%E -3.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -7.68%E -4.36%K -10.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-09 22:08
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.67%E -5.09%K -10.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -2.96%E -1.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-09 22:28
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-06-09 22:29
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%0.3%2026-06-09 22:29
Novig2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-06-09 22:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-06-09 22:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-06-09 22:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-06-09 22:29
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-09 15:19
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-09 22:29
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%2.3%2026-06-09 22:09
BetOpenly2.01I 49.75%NM 48.46%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.54%2.7%2026-06-09 22:29