مدرسة الاحتمالات

Baltimore Orioles v San Francisco Giants

البداية: 2026-04-12 17:36 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Baltimore Orioles 6–2 San Francisco Giants

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.21%1.88السعر العادل
EV -1.03%
الأفضلية -0.551%
Kelly -1.19%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.86

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.00%53.22%53.25%54.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.721.791.791.8658.14%55.98%55.87%53.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

San Francisco Giants (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.79%2.14السعر العادل
EV +0.126%
الأفضلية +0.059%
Kelly +0.110%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.14

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.27%46.78%46.75%48.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.922.052.052.1452.08%48.75%48.78%46.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV +0.126%E +0.059%K +0.110%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 16:49
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -0.810%E -0.382%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 16:50
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -0.810%E -0.382%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 16:50
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-12 17:20
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-12 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 16:50
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 16:49
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 16:50
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 16:49
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 16:49
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 16:50
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 16:50
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 16:50
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.41%E -4.26%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 16:49
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.41%E -4.26%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 16:50
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.41%E -4.26%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 16:49
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.41%E -4.26%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 16:50
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.56%E -0.842%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.21%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-12 16:55
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.21%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-12 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.21%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-12 17:20
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.21%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-12 17:29
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.03%E -0.551%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.15%E -1.52%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-12 17:29
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.69%E -2.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.62%E -1.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 16:45
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 17:05
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 13:40
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 17:34
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 17:35
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 17:05
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 17:00
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 16:44
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 16:50
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.28%E -2.97%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 16:44
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.28%E -2.97%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 16:55
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:29
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 13:09
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 16:45
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 16:44
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 16:44
MyBookie.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.55%E -2.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 17:35
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.69%E -2.04%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.55%E -2.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 17:33
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.02%E -2.47%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 16:45
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 16:45
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 17:05
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 17:00
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 17:35
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.96%E -2.96%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:34
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 16:49
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 16:50
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 16:50
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 16:49
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 17:35
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 16:45
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.28%E -2.97%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 17:34
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 17:34
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 16:50
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 17:25
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 16:44
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -8.47%E -4.93%K -11.77%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -10.17%E -5.30%K -11.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 17:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.89I 52.91%NM 53.10%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.90%-0.4%2026-04-12 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-04-12 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-04-12 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-04-12 17:35
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-12 17:35
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-04-12 17:35
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-04-12 17:35
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-04-12 17:25
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%2.2%2026-04-12 17:35
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-04-12 17:35