A Escola das Odds

Baltimore Orioles v San Diego Padres

Início: 2026-06-14 17:36 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 2–5 San Diego Padres

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Previsão 55.50%1.80odd justa
EV -2.32%
Vantagem -1.32%
Kelly -3.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.09%55.63%55.58%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.721.711.7660.61%58.17%58.48%56.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Previsão 44.50%2.25odd justa
EV +0.128%
Vantagem +0.057%
Kelly +0.102%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%44.37%44.42%45.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.152.152.2548.78%46.47%46.51%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.43%E -1.97%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.128%E +0.057%K +0.102%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-14 17:30
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.43%E -1.97%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.128%E +0.057%K +0.102%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-14 17:00
Everygame1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.32%E -1.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.21%E -0.544%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-14 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.43%E -1.97%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.21%E -0.544%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 17:30
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.43%E -1.97%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.21%E -0.544%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 17:30
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.43%E -1.97%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.21%E -0.544%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 16:00
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.32%E -1.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.65%E -0.748%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-14 15:40
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.88%E -1.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -2.10%E -0.953%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-14 17:30
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.43%E -1.97%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.10%E -0.953%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-14 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.10%E -0.953%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 17:20
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.10%E -0.953%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 16:50
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.10%E -0.953%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.43%E -5.11%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.10%E -0.953%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 14:20
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.54%E -2.64%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.43%E -1.58%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-14 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.54%E -2.64%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.43%E -1.58%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-14 17:00
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -2.88%E -1.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-14 16:50
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.43%E -1.97%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-14 15:20
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.21%E -3.67%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-14 16:49
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.21%E -3.67%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-14 16:50
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.43%E -1.97%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 15:19
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.43%E -1.97%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 15:20
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.43%E -1.97%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 12:19
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.43%E -1.97%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 17:19
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.99%E -2.30%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 15:40
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.99%E -2.30%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.99%E -2.30%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.54%E -2.64%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:10
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.54%E -2.64%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 15:10
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 13:10
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 14:30
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 17:10
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 14:30
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 14:30
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 15:09
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 16:40
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 17:10
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 17:00
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 17:00
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 17:00
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 16:59
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 17:00
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 17:00
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 17:10
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 14:00
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.99%E -2.30%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.77%E -2.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 15:20
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.77%E -2.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-14 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.77%E -2.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-14 17:00
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.77%E -2.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-14 17:00
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.77%E -2.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-14 17:00
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.77%E -2.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-14 15:39
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -3.99%E -2.30%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -5.21%E -2.45%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 16:50
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.76%E -4.03%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.66%E -2.67%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-14 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.88%E -1.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 12:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.99%E -2.30%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 20:50
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.99%E -2.30%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.54%E -2.64%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 15:20
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.54%E -2.64%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 17:30
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 17:20
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 17:26
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.65%E -3.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 15:20
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -6.76%E -4.03%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.88%E -3.81%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 17:10
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.43%E -1.97%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.77%E -4.28%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 16:50
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.99%E -2.30%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.77%E -4.28%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-14 15:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-06-14 17:30
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-06-14 17:20
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-06-14 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-06-14 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-06-14 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-06-14 17:30
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-14 17:30
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-14 14:00
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-06-14 17:30
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%4.0%2026-06-14 17:30