Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles v New York Yankees

Início: 2026-08-19 22:36 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 3–5 New York Yankees

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Previsão 49.39%2.02odd justa
EV -2.21%
Vantagem -1.11%
Kelly -2.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.30%49.29%49.36%50.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.841.931.931.9854.35%51.89%51.81%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Previsão 50.61%1.98odd justa
EV -0.805%
Vantagem -0.411%
Kelly -0.839%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.46%50.71%50.64%52.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.871.871.9657.14%53.49%53.48%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 49.39%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 50.61%. Para New York Yankees (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.98. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.96, com valor esperado de -0.805%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.21%E -1.11%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.32%E -1.20%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 22:10
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.21%E -1.11%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.32%E -1.20%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 22:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -2.21%E -1.11%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.89%E -4.34%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 22:30
BetAnything🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.70%E -1.37%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.32%E -1.20%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 22:00
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.19%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.805%E -0.411%K -0.839%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-19 22:30
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.19%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.805%E -0.411%K -0.839%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-19 21:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.19%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.82%E -0.937%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 22:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.19%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.82%E -0.937%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 22:00
GTbets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.19%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.82%E -0.937%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 22:00
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.19%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.82%E -0.937%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 22:05
DraftKings🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -3.19%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -3.34%E -1.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-19 22:35
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.19%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 22:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.19%E -1.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.88%E -3.74%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 22:34
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.31%E -0.672%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 21:05
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.31%E -0.672%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 20:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.36%E -2.87%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 22:35
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 22:35
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.38%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 20:25
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.38%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 22:33
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -3.69%E -1.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -11.43%E -6.53%K -15.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-19 22:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.18%E -2.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.34%E -1.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 21:09
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.18%E -2.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.85%E -2.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 21:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.18%E -2.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -7.38%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 22:35
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.18%E -2.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -7.38%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.18%E -2.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -7.38%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 22:35
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.18%E -2.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -7.38%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 22:35
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.18%E -2.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -7.38%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.18%E -2.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -7.38%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 22:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.18%E -2.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -7.38%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 22:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.18%E -2.16%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.89%E -4.34%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 22:34
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.68%E -2.42%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.85%E -2.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 22:29
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -4.68%E -2.42%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.89%E -4.34%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 22:35
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -4.68%E -2.42%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.89%E -4.34%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 22:35
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.69%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.47%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 21:25
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.17%E -2.69%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.85%E -2.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 21:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.17%E -2.69%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -8.40%E -4.64%K -10.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 22:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.17%E -2.69%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -8.40%E -4.64%K -10.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 22:35
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.66%E -2.97%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 20:39
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.66%E -2.97%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.66%E -2.97%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 20:40
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.66%E -2.97%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.36%E -2.87%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 20:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.66%E -2.97%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.36%E -2.87%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 22:35
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.66%E -2.97%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 20:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.66%E -2.97%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 20:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.66%E -2.97%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 20:30
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.66%E -2.97%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.38%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 22:35
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.66%E -2.97%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.38%E -4.04%K -8.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 22:35
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.66%E -2.97%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.90%E -4.95%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.84%E -2.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 20:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.84%E -2.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.84%E -2.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 20:40
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.84%E -2.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 20:40
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.84%E -2.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.84%E -2.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.84%E -2.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 21:10
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -4.35%E -2.30%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.36%E -2.87%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 22:30
ReBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.37%E -3.44%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 22:35
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.90%E -4.95%K -11.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-19 22:28
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.90%E -4.95%K -11.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-19 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.63%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.37%EV -9.91%E -5.57%K -12.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-19 22:35
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.64%E -4.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.36%E -2.87%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 20:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%EV -7.64%E -4.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40%EV -6.88%E -3.74%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 22:10
Betsson🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -9.12%E -4.96%K -10.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -4.85%E -2.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 22:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-08-19 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-08-19 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-19 22:10
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-19 20:30
ProphetX◎2.01I 49.75%NM 49.24%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%1.0%2026-08-19 22:35
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-08-19 22:35
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-08-19 21:10
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-08-19 22:35
BetOpenly◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.1%2026-08-19 22:34
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77%2.6%2026-08-19 22:30