Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-03-26 19:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Previsão 56.40%1.77odd justa
EV -1.87%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -2.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.97%56.29%56.44%57.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.701.701.7462.50%58.89%58.82%57.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 43.60%2.29odd justa
EV -1.46%
Vantagem -0.645%
Kelly -1.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.75%43.71%43.56%45.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.182.172.2648.78%45.94%46.08%44.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 56.40%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 43.60%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.29. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.26, com valor esperado de -1.46%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.87%E -1.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.46%E -0.645%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.7%2026-03-26 18:55
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.87%E -1.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.33%E -1.04%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-26 14:45
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -1.87%E -1.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-26 17:25
BetAnything🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.33%E -1.04%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-26 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 17:25
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 17:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.00%E -1.74%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.89%E -0.841%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-26 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.00%E -1.74%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.89%E -0.841%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-26 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.00%E -1.74%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -5.38%E -2.48%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 16:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.00%E -1.74%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -5.38%E -2.48%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 16:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.00%E -1.74%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -5.38%E -2.48%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 16:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.00%E -1.74%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -5.38%E -2.48%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.00%E -1.74%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 17:25
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.00%E -1.74%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.00%E -1.74%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 19:04
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.56%E -2.08%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.46%E -0.645%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-26 16:24
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.56%E -2.08%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-25 15:15
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.56%E -2.08%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 15:34
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.56%E -2.08%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.82%E -2.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 16:10
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.56%E -2.08%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.82%E -2.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.56%E -2.08%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.82%E -2.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 16:10
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.56%E -2.08%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.82%E -2.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 16:09
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.56%E -2.08%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.82%E -2.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 16:09
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.56%E -2.08%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.82%E -2.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 16:09
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.56%E -2.08%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.82%E -2.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-26 16:09
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.56%E -2.08%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 19:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.20%E -1.44%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 17:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-26 15:38
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 14:44
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-26 19:05
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.51%E -2.06%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-26 19:04
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.38%E -2.48%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 18:54
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.82%E -2.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 19:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:54
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 19:00
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -6.69%E -3.13%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 16:09
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -6.69%E -3.13%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-26 16:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 19:04
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.43%E -4.02%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 18:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.89%E -0.841%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-26 15:25
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.20%E -1.44%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 18:49
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 15:34
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 18:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 15:33
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.38%E -2.48%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 19:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.69%E -2.77%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.38%E -2.48%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 14:45
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.89%E -0.841%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 18:54
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 14:39
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.95%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-26 14:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.25%E -3.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-26 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 10:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 10:34
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 10:34
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 04:35
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 18:54
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 16:39
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.82%E -3.48%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.25%E -2.91%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 15:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.07%E -1.85%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 15:34
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.76%E -6.10%K -16.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.61%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-26 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.76%E -6.10%K -16.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.61%E -5.18%K -10.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-26 18:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.76%2.31I 43.29%NM 43.24%0.1%2026-03-26 19:04
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-26 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-03-26 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-03-26 19:10
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.82%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.18%1.1%2026-03-26 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-03-26 19:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-03-26 19:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-03-26 19:10
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%3.4%2026-03-26 19:10
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%8.4%2026-03-26 19:10