Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles v Milwaukee Brewers

Início: 2026-09-19 20:06 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Previsão 50.10%2.00odd justa
EV -2.31%
Vantagem -1.19%
Kelly -2.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.09%50.07%50.00%51.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.791.911.911.9555.87%52.45%52.36%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Previsão 49.90%2.00odd justa
EV -0.191%
Vantagem -0.096%
Kelly -0.191%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.85%49.93%50.00%50.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.811.901.902.0055.25%52.54%52.49%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 50.10%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante): 49.90%. Para Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.004. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.000, com valor esperado de -0.191%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.31%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.69%E -0.857%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-19 18:55
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.31%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.69%E -1.38%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-19 19:59
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.31%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 16:34
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.81%E -1.45%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.19%E -0.601%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-19 19:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -2.81%E -1.45%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 19:03
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.69%E -0.857%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-19 19:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.69%E -0.857%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-19 19:14
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.69%E -0.857%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-19 19:54
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.69%E -0.857%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-19 19:14
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 17:39
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.68%E -3.01%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 19:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.68%E -3.01%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 19:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.68%E -3.01%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 19:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.68%E -3.01%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 19:44
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 18:44
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 18:45
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 18:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 18:44
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 18:44
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -1.99%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.18%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 17:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.82%E -1.99%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 19:09
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.82%E -1.99%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 19:44
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.191%E -0.096%K -0.191%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-19 19:36
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 18:54
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 19:04
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 16:34
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 19:04
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 17:39
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 19:05
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 14:21
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 16:34
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 16:34
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 16:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 19:04
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 20:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 19:04
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 14:01
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 18:49
Bovada🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.18%E -2.18%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 19:59
DraftKings🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.18%E -2.18%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 18:54
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 18:59
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 18:59
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 17:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 19:03
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 17:44
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 17:39
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 16:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 16:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.68%E -3.57%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 19:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -7.18%E -3.86%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 19:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -7.18%E -3.86%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 19:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.32%E -2.81%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 18:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.82%E -3.10%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 18:54
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.32%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 20:04
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.32%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.57%K -7.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 17:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.82%E -3.67%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:54
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 19:59
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 19:58
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.17%E -5.04%K -11.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 19:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.82%E -4.25%K -9.31%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.18%E -3.86%K -8.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 19:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.28%EV -10.33%E -5.77%K -13.07%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.72%EV -9.67%E -5.34%K -11.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 19:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-09-19 20:04
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.37%0.8%2026-09-19 19:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-19 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-19 19:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-19 19:15
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-19 19:44
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-19 19:24
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-19 14:01
BetOpenly1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%2.0%2026-09-19 19:49
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.38%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.62%2.3%2026-09-19 20:04