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Baltimore Orioles v Detroit Tigers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Baltimore Orioles (Local)
Predicción 54.30%1.84momio equitativo
EV -0.626%
Ventaja -0.342%
Kelly -0.754%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.05%54.27%54.31%55.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.761.751.8358.82%56.78%56.98%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Detroit Tigers (Visitante)
Predicción 45.70%2.19momio equitativo
EV -0.837%
Ventaja -0.386%
Kelly -0.715%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%45.73%45.69%46.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.092.102.1750.00%47.79%47.62%46.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 54.30%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 45.70%. Para Baltimore Orioles (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.84. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.83, con un valor esperado de -0.626%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.626%E -0.342%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.626%E -0.342%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.04%E -1.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -0.626%E -0.342%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -4.49%E -2.15%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -0.626%E -0.342%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -4.49%E -2.15%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-22 23:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -0.626%E -0.342%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -4.49%E -2.15%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.71%E -0.946%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.25%E -1.25%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.75%E -0.814%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-22 20:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.25%E -1.25%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.25%E -1.25%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.25%E -1.25%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.34%E -1.88%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.837%E -0.386%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.34%E -1.88%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-22 22:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -3.34%E -1.88%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-22 21:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.34%E -1.88%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -5.41%E -2.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.34%E -1.88%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.34%E -1.88%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.88%E -2.19%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.04%E -1.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-22 20:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.88%E -2.19%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.04%E -1.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-22 21:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.88%E -2.19%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.04%E -1.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-22 21:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.88%E -2.19%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.95%E -2.38%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.88%E -2.19%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.88%E -2.19%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.88%E -2.19%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.61%E -4.30%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 20:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.43%E -2.52%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-22 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.43%E -2.52%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-22 22:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.43%E -2.52%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-22 22:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.43%E -2.52%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-22 21:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.43%E -2.52%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.49%E -2.15%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 21:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.43%E -2.52%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.41%E -2.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 20:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.43%E -2.52%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.41%E -2.61%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 20:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.04%E -1.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.04%E -1.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-22 21:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.04%E -1.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-22 21:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.04%E -1.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-22 21:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.04%E -1.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-22 21:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.04%E -1.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-22 21:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.04%E -1.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-22 21:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.04%E -1.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-22 21:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.04%E -1.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-22 21:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.95%E -2.38%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 20:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.51%E -3.17%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.75%E -0.814%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-22 21:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.51%E -3.17%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.75%E -0.814%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-22 21:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.51%E -3.17%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.04%E -1.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 21:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.51%E -3.17%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.95%E -2.38%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.51%E -3.17%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.95%E -2.38%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 22:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.51%E -3.17%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.95%E -2.38%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 22:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.51%E -3.17%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.95%E -2.38%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 22:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.51%E -3.17%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-22 23:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.51%E -3.17%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-22 21:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 21:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 20:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.04%E -1.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 21:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.04%E -1.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 20:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.04%E -1.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.04%E -1.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 21:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.04%E -1.92%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 21:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.06%E -3.50%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-22 21:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-22 20:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.14%E -4.18%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.75%E -0.814%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 20:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.69%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 54.09% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.91% | -0.1% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 0.1% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 0.2% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-05-22 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-22 23:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-22 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-05-22 21:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 2.3% | 2026-05-22 22:49 |