Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-09-09 22:36 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 9–5 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Previsão 48.56%2.06odd justa
EV -0.449%
Vantagem -0.219%
Kelly -0.428%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%48.49%48.67%50.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.881.971.962.0553.19%50.79%50.89%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 51.44%1.94odd justa
EV -1.24%
Vantagem -0.645%
Kelly -1.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.47%51.51%51.33%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.761.851.851.9256.82%54.01%54.05%52.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 48.56%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 51.44%. Para Baltimore Orioles (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.06. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.05, com valor esperado de -0.449%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.449%E -0.219%K -0.428%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-09 14:55
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.449%E -0.219%K -0.428%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-09 13:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -0.935%E -0.458%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -0.935%E -0.458%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 15:00
BetUS🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.42%E -0.700%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.30%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 16:00
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -1.91%E -0.944%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -1.75%E -0.917%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-09 17:40
BetAnything🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -2.39%E -1.19%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -3.30%E -1.75%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-09 15:00
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -1.24%E -0.645%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 16:10
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-09 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 13:10
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 13:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 13:10
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 13:10
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 13:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:25
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:25
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:25
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:23
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:25
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:25
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 15:20
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.88%E -1.44%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 16:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 13:14
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 13:05
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 13:10
Bovada🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.85%E -1.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 17:30
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.38%E -3.51%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 15:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.33%E -2.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.41%E -4.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 13:55
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.82%E -2.46%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -2.78%E -1.47%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 07:10
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.82%E -2.46%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.32%E -2.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 15:50
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.82%E -2.46%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.82%E -2.46%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 13:10
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 15:25
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 12:25
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 13:10
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 12:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 13:05
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 12:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.32%E -2.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 15:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 13:09
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:35
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 13:10
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 13:10
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 15:55
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.31%E -2.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 13:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.79%E -2.99%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.32%E -2.32%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 16:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.79%E -2.99%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.35%E -2.91%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 13:05
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.28%E -3.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.81%E -2.04%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 10:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.28%E -3.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.35%E -2.91%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 13:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.28%E -3.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.35%E -2.91%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 16:35
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.28%E -3.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 13:09
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.28%E -3.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 13:10
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -6.28%E -3.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -9.47%E -5.38%K -12.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 15:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.76%E -3.52%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.35%E -2.91%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 13:09
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.75%E -0.917%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 15:40
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.75%E -0.917%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.75%E -0.917%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 04:09
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.25%E -3.79%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.84%E -2.62%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -1.24%E -0.645%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 14:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%0.2%2026-09-09 16:30
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-09-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-09-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-09-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-09-09 17:00
Novig◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-09-09 16:35
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-09-09 14:15
Polymarket◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-09-09 12:15
BetOpenly◎2.03I 49.26%NM 48.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.52%1.6%2026-09-09 14:30
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.4%2026-09-09 17:00